PAU vs Nancy
Match events
- 14'G. Paquiez
- 19'A. Dodote
- 43'N. Fernandez
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.3
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests a challenging match for PAU, who have lost 4 of their last 5 games, weakening their home advantage. Nancy, despite their own struggles, has historically performed well against PAU, recording victories in 3 of their last 5 meetings. With both teams conceding goals frequently, a competitive game is anticipated, possibly ending in a narrow win for Nancy.
- PAU has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Nancy has a solid recent head-to-head record against PAU, winning 3 of the last 5 encounters
- Both teams have struggled defensively, averaging 1.9 goals conceded by PAU and 1.7 by Nancy in their last 10 matches.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors PAU
- Poor recent formPAU
PAU have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Higher league positionNancy
Nancy sit 4 places above PAU in the table.
#9 vs #13 - Sharper attackNancy
Nancy are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game - Tighter defenseNancy
Nancy are conceding just 1.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked PAU at 38.83% — final result was Nancy win, PAU 0-1 Nancy.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (73/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- PAU have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nancy have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
PAU
More Ligue 2 predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win PAU vs Nancy?+
Our AI model favors PAU to win, with a 38.83% probability (Draw 30%, Nancy 31.17%).
What time does PAU vs Nancy kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).