Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid
Value found
+2.7% edgeDraw
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 23'D. Graovac (Alexandru Paşcanu)
- 25'R. Salceanu
- 45+2'C. Vulturar
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 0.5
- 1.5
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a competitive matchup with Petrolul Ploiesti having a solid home performance, but recent head-to-head results indicate parity. Rapid's struggles away from home could impact their ability to secure a win, reflecting a likely low-scoring draw.
- Petrolul Ploiesti is unbeaten at home this season with 2 wins from 2 matches.
- Rapid has yet to win an away game this season, drawing both of their matches.
- Historically, recent matchups have been close, with 3 of the last 5 ending in draws.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rapid
- Strong home recordPetrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul Ploiesti have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins - Weak away recordRapid
Rapid have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins - Good recent formPetrolul Ploiesti
Petrolul Ploiesti have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Poor recent formRapid
Rapid have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
0W 2D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rapid at 44% — final result was Rapid win, Petrolul Ploiesti 0-2 Rapid.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (72/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Petrolul Ploiesti have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Rapid have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Rapid
Petrolul PloiestiPetrolul PloiestiRapidRapidPetrolul PloiestiPetrolul PloiestiRapidPetrolul PloiestiRapidRapidPetrolul PloiestiRapidPetrolul PloiestiPetrolul PloiestiRapidOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 9 | WWLL |
| 2 | Rapid | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 11 | LDWD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Petrolul Ploiesti
More Liga I predictions
FC Voluntari
Oţelul
Universitatea ClujPetrolul Ploiesti
Csikszereda
CFR 1907 Cluj
Arges Pitesti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid?+
Our AI model favors Rapid to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 32%, Petrolul Ploiesti 24%).
What time does Petrolul Ploiesti vs Rapid kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).