Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs

USL Championship· Group Stage
WLLDGoals 11-1011th in league
LWWLGoals 6-179th in league
Home4W 4D 2L(18-13)
Away2W 2D 6L(11-18)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 27'G. Rivera
  2. 35'I. Sacko (D. Gomez)
  3. 44'M. Lacroix
  4. 45+2'Adrien Perez (B. Jamison)
  5. 60'J. Tejada
  6. 62'B. Jamison (K. Bennett)
  7. 62'G. Rivera (A. Pelayo)
  8. 62'F. Daroma (S. Masereka)
  9. 62'D. Gomez (R. Czichos)
  10. 62'C. Dennis (R. Czichos)
  11. 72'M. Mahoney
  12. 77'Dominique Badji (T. Schmitt)
  13. 78'D. Williams (S. Echevarria)
  14. 82'J. Scearce
  15. 83'M. Lacroix (T. Magee)
  16. 83'J. Tejada (J. Fjeldberg)
  17. 85'D. Flores (D. Rivera)
  18. 85'C. Smith (G. Studenhofft)
  19. 90+1'G. Studenhofft
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Phoenix RisingColorado Springs
1.1
Goals/game
0.6
1.0
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Phoenix Rising win
36%
Draw
28%
Colorado Springs win
36%
41.5%BTTS
37.7%Over 2.5
44.9%Phoenix Rising clean sheet
24.7%Colorado Springs clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a tightly contested match between Phoenix Rising and Colorado Springs, reflecting their recent forms and historical head-to-head performances. While Phoenix has dominated in past encounters, their current standing indicates vulnerabilities, particularly defensively. Colorado Springs, despite a slightly better league ranking, also showcases weaknesses away from home. A predicted score of 1-1 aligns with the uncertainties surrounding both teams.

  • Phoenix Rising has a strong head-to-head record, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters against Colorado Springs.
  • Colorado Springs has struggled on the road this season with only 2 away wins out of 9 matches.
  • Both teams are currently in inconsistent form, further complicating the matchup.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
66/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Phoenix Rising

  • Poor recent formColorado Springs

    Colorado Springs have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defensePhoenix Rising

    Phoenix Rising are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1/game conceded
  • Strong home recordPhoenix Rising

    Phoenix Rising have won 4 of their last 10 home matches.

    4/10 home wins
  • Weak away recordColorado Springs

    Colorado Springs have won 2 of their last 10 away matches.

    2/10 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Phoenix Rising at 36% — final result was Phoenix Rising win, Phoenix Rising 3-1 Colorado Springs.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

Phoenix Rising2.36market 42.4% · model 36%
Colorado Springs2.73market 36.6% · model 36%
Draw3.28market 30.5% · model 28%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Phoenix Rising have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Colorado Springs have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Phoenix Rising wins
2Draws
3Colorado Springs wins
11-8Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Phoenix Rising2.36best 2.46
Draw3.28best 3.41
Colorado Springs2.73best 2.86

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.81best 1.88
Under 2.51.91best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.63best 1.67
No2.12best 2.20

Double chance

Phoenix Rising/Draw1.39best 1.50
Phoenix Rising/Colorado Springs1.28best 1.33
Draw/Colorado Springs1.51best 1.57

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.30best 1.30
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.40best 3.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.75best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Phoenix Rising2.36 0.02
Draw3.27 0.07
Colorado Springs2.73 0.11
17 Aug20 Aug

Model vs market

Phoenix Rising win-2.7pp
AI
36%
Market
38.7%
Draw+0.1pp
AI
28%
Market
27.9%
Colorado Springs win+2.6pp
AI
36%
Market
33.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
Phoenix Rising
21687026WLDD
9
Colorado Springs
21849028LWLL

Pre-match comparison

1.1Goals scored per game0.6
1Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Thompson

4.5Yellow cards / game
0.19Red cards / game
0.31Penalties scored / game

Based on 16 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Phoenix Rising

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

Colorado Springs

0-15'
0%
16-30'
12.5%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
75%

More USL Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs?+

Our AI model favors Phoenix Rising to win, with a 36% probability (Draw 28%, Colorado Springs 36%).

What time does Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 20, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).