Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07
Value found
+3.3% edgePhönix Lübeck win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 22'J. ter Horst (Laurin Ulrich)
- 36'R. Obermair
- 41'Santiago Castaneda (R. Obermair)
- 43'A. Ihde
- 43'M. Kretzer
- 46'R. Obermair (Clemens Lippmann)
- 46'K. Skolik (J. Markvoort Beke)
- 46'A. Millgramm (O. Batista Meier)
- 61'Stefano Marino
- 66'A. Ihde (O. Touray)
- 66'O. Rahimic (J. Boccaccio)
- 68'F. Maiolo
- 71'G. Vidović (O. Batista Meier)
- 72'Stefano Marino (Steffen Tigges)
- 72'M. Kretzer (J. J. Kliti)
- 73'G. Vidović (D. Zeitler)
- 73'J. Stover (M. Fernandes)
- 75'T. Scheller
- 75'M. Schubert
- 77'Mattes Hansen (J. Sticker)
Lineups
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 3.0
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-3
The data suggests a strong advantage for SC Paderborn heading into this matchup, bolstered by their recent scoring form. They have consistently found the net, averaging over 3 goals in their last 10 matches, while Phönix Lübeck's performance has seen them concede nearly as many as they score. Historical performance indicates that Paderborn's attacking strength could prevail in this encounter.
- SC Paderborn averaged 3.1 goals scored over their last 10 matches
- Phönix Lübeck conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last 4 matches
- Phönix Lübeck has a significant loss to Borussia Dortmund (1-4) in their recent home games
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors SC Paderborn 07
- Sharper attackSC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 are averaging 3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
3/game - Tighter defensePhönix Lübeck
Phönix Lübeck are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Phönix Lübeck has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked SC Paderborn 07 at 80.82% — final result was SC Paderborn 07 win, Phönix Lübeck 2-4 SC Paderborn 07.
Predicted score was 1-3.
This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Phönix Lübeck have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 4 matches.
- SC Paderborn 07 have averaged 3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 4 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Phönix Lübeck
SC Paderborn 07
More DFB Pokal predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07?+
Our AI model favors SC Paderborn 07 to win, with a 80.82% probability (Draw 11.8%, Phönix Lübeck 7.38%).
What time does Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).