Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa
Match events
- 7'Łukasz Zjawiński (R. Augustyniak)
- 42'R. Deziel
- 50'Juande Rivas
- 56'Elton Fikaj (Jakub Lewicki)
- 56'Jason Lokilo (Ivan Lima)
- 56'Oskar Lesniak (Q. Boisgard)
- 57'P. Wszolek (Arkadiusz Reca)
- 81'Łukasz Zjawiński (M. Rajovic)
- 81'M. Sevcik (W. Urbanski)
- 82'H. Arreiol (D. Szymański)
- 90+5'Leandro Sanca (Ivan Lima)
- 90+10'Ivan Lima
- 90'Rúben Vinagre (Kacper Chodyna)
- 90'Samuel Ntamack Ndimba (A. Katsantonis)
Lineups
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.4
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Legia Warszawa enters this match in good form and at the top of the standings, while Piast Gliwice struggles at the bottom with recent losses. The away team has a better overall performance this season, including a strong goal difference, which may play a crucial role in the match outcome. Head-to-head results show a slight edge for Piast Gliwice, but their current form might hinder their chances against a strong Legia side.
- Legia Warszawa currently ranks 1st with 10 points from 4 matches.
- Piast Gliwice has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating poor recent form.
- Legia Warszawa has a solid away record this season with 1 win and 1 draw from 2 matches.
- Historically, Piast Gliwice won only 2 out of their last 5 matches against Legia Warszawa.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Legia Warszawa
- Higher league positionLegia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa sit 13 places above Piast Gliwice in the table.
#1 vs #14 - Sharper attackLegia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game - Poor recent formPiast Gliwice
Piast Gliwice have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseLegia Warszawa
Legia Warszawa are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Legia Warszawa at 45.8% — final result was a draw, Piast Gliwice 1-1 Legia Warszawa.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Piast Gliwice have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Legia Warszawa have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | LLWL | |
| 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 12 | DWDW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
Bartosz Frankowski
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Piast Gliwice
Legia Warszawa
Match statistics
Player ratings
- 1Juande RivasPiast Gliwice🟨8.2
- 2Leandro SancaPiast Gliwice⚽ 18.0
- 3B. KapustkaLegia Warszawa7.7
- 4J. ŁabojkoPiast Gliwice7.7
- 5R. AugustyniakLegia Warszawa🅰️ 17.6
- 6Kamil PiątkowskiLegia Warszawa7.5
Box score
Piast Gliwice
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Bench (11)
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Legia Warszawa
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Bench (11)
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More Ekstraklasa predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?+
Our AI model favors Legia Warszawa to win, with a 45.8% probability (Draw 27.33%, Piast Gliwice 26.87%).
What time does Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).


































