Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa

Ekstraklasa· Regular Season - 5
WLLLGoals 13-1414th in league
LDWDGoals 17-121st in league
Home1W 1D 1L(8-8)
Away1W 2D 0L(3-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'Łukasz Zjawiński (R. Augustyniak)
  2. 42'R. Deziel
  3. 50'Juande Rivas
  4. 56'Elton Fikaj (Jakub Lewicki)
  5. 56'Jason Lokilo (Ivan Lima)
  6. 56'Oskar Lesniak (Q. Boisgard)
  7. 57'P. Wszolek (Arkadiusz Reca)
  8. 81'Łukasz Zjawiński (M. Rajovic)
  9. 81'M. Sevcik (W. Urbanski)
  10. 82'H. Arreiol (D. Szymański)
  11. 90+5'Leandro Sanca (Ivan Lima)
  12. 90+10'Ivan Lima
  13. 90'Rúben Vinagre (Kacper Chodyna)
  14. 90'Samuel Ntamack Ndimba (A. Katsantonis)

Lineups

Piast GliwiceLegia Warszawa
1.3
Goals/game
1.7
1.4
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Piast Gliwice win
26.87%
Draw
27.33%
Legia Warszawa win
45.8%
56.2%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
21.2%Piast Gliwice clean sheet
28.7%Legia Warszawa clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that Legia Warszawa enters this match in good form and at the top of the standings, while Piast Gliwice struggles at the bottom with recent losses. The away team has a better overall performance this season, including a strong goal difference, which may play a crucial role in the match outcome. Head-to-head results show a slight edge for Piast Gliwice, but their current form might hinder their chances against a strong Legia side.

  • Legia Warszawa currently ranks 1st with 10 points from 4 matches.
  • Piast Gliwice has lost 3 of their last 5 matches, indicating poor recent form.
  • Legia Warszawa has a solid away record this season with 1 win and 1 draw from 2 matches.
  • Historically, Piast Gliwice won only 2 out of their last 5 matches against Legia Warszawa.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Legia Warszawa

  • Higher league positionLegia Warszawa

    Legia Warszawa sit 13 places above Piast Gliwice in the table.

    #1 vs #14
  • Sharper attackLegia Warszawa

    Legia Warszawa are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Poor recent formPiast Gliwice

    Piast Gliwice have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defenseLegia Warszawa

    Legia Warszawa are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Legia Warszawa at 45.8% — final result was a draw, Piast Gliwice 1-1 Legia Warszawa.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Legia Warszawa2.03market 49.3% · model 45.8%
Draw3.40market 29.4% · model 27.33%
Piast Gliwice3.45market 28.9% · model 26.87%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Piast Gliwice have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Legia Warszawa have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Piast Gliwice wins
1Draws
3Legia Warszawa wins
10-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Piast Gliwice3.45best 3.63
Draw3.40best 3.57
Legia Warszawa2.03best 2.10

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.84best 1.91
Under 2.51.91best 1.98

Both teams to score

Yes1.68best 1.70
No2.07best 2.15

Double chance

Piast Gliwice/Draw1.74best 1.82
Piast Gliwice/Legia Warszawa1.28best 1.30
Draw/Legia Warszawa1.28best 1.31

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.25best 4.50
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.19best 1.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.38best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.83best 2.90

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Piast Gliwice3.45 0.04
Draw3.40 0.11
Legia Warszawa2.03 0.04
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Piast Gliwice win0pp
AI
26.87%
Market
26.9%
Draw0pp
AI
27.33%
Market
27.3%
Legia Warszawa win0pp
AI
45.8%
Market
45.8%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
14
Piast Gliwice
5113-54LLWL
1
Legia Warszawa
6330+812DWDW

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.7
1.4Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

Bartosz Frankowski

3Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Piast Gliwice

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

Legia Warszawa

0-15'
20%
16-30'
26.7%
31-45'
13.3%
46-60'
13.3%
61-75'
6.7%
76-90+'
20%

Match statistics

59%Possession41%
1.11Expected goals (xG)0.97
3Shots on target3
14Total shots13
6Shots off target7
5Blocked shots3
10Shots inside the box8
4Shots outside the box5
4Corners5
0Offsides2
10Fouls4
2Yellow cards1
Red cards
2Goalkeeper saves2
537Total passes377
455Accurate passes301
85%Pass accuracy80%

Player ratings

Box score

Piast Gliwice

3Elton FikajD · 56'
6.2
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes24%
Tackles2
Duels67%
5Juande RivasD · 90'
🟨8.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes59%
Tackles4
Duels76%
80Hugo VallejoM · 90'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes42%
Tackles3
Duels50%
98Jason LokiloM · 56'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes22%
Tackles2
Duels57%
27
27J. ŁabojkoM · 90'
7.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes51%
Tackles2
Duels50%
4
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes60%
Tackles1
Duels57%
11
11Leandro SancaF · 90'
18.0
More stats
Shots2/4 on target
Passes19%
Tackles1
Duels60%
75
75D. GrilG · 90'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes31%
Tackles
Duels100%
31Oskar LesniakM · 56'
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes22%
Tackles2
Duels33%
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes18%
Tackles
Duels25%
99Ema TwumasiD · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes52%
Tackles1
Duels40%
Bench (11)
17
17Q. BoisgardM · 34'
7.2
More stats
Shots on target
Passes21%
Tackles2
Duels75%
36Jakub LewickiD · 34'
6.7
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes23%
Tackles2
Duels33%
90Ivan LimaM · 34'
🅰️ 1🟨6.6
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes11%
Tackles1
Duels25%
10
10A. KatsantonisF · 12'
6.3
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes
Tackles
Duels0%

Legia Warszawa

89Ottó HindrichG · 90'
6.9
More stats
Shots on target
Passes11%
Tackles
Duels
22
22P. WszolekM · 57'
6.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes15%
Tackles1
Duels25%
67
67B. Kapustka (C)M · 90'
7.7
More stats
Shots on target
Passes40%
Tackles7
Duels83%
8
🅰️ 17.6
More stats
Shots0/2 on target
Passes44%
Tackles2
Duels64%
19Rúben VinagreM · 89'
6.5
More stats
Shots on target
Passes19%
Tackles1
Duels40%
7.5
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes41%
Tackles2
Duels67%
9R. AdamskiF · 90'
5.7
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes8%
Tackles
Duels13%
17.2
More stats
Shots1/2 on target
Passes10%
Tackles
Duels50%
5R. DezielD · 90'
🟨6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes37%
Tackles1
Duels50%
23M. SevcikM · 81'
6.9
More stats
Shots1/1 on target
Passes22%
Tackles3
Duels55%
6H. ArreiolM · 81'
6.9
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes36%
Tackles1
Duels25%
Bench (11)
11Kacper ChodynaM · 11'
6.5
53W. UrbanskiM · 9'
6.3
More stats
Shots0/1 on target
Passes2%
Tackles1
Duels50%
29M. RajovicF · 9'
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes3%
Tackles
Duels57%
13Arkadiusz RecaD · 33'
6.6
More stats
Shots on target
Passes9%
Tackles1
Duels100%
24
4
6.3
More stats
Shots on target
Passes4%
Tackles
Duels
1

More Ekstraklasa predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa?+

Our AI model favors Legia Warszawa to win, with a 45.8% probability (Draw 27.33%, Piast Gliwice 26.87%).

What time does Piast Gliwice vs Legia Warszawa kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).