Piratas vs Cancún
Match events
- 24'U. Garcia
- 27'G. Lopez (R. Palomares)
- 33'Christopher Trejo
- 43'R. Palomares
- 46'G. Preciado (U. Echevarria)
- 46'L. Ruiz (K. Campos)
- 67'K. Jaime (J. Clemente)
- 67'R. Gonzalez (I. Doumbouya)
- 69'K. Campos
- 78'Christopher Trejo (T. Gigena)
- 78'D. Guillen
- 82'P. Uscanga (A. Arredondo)
- 84'B. Figueroa (E. Ochoa)
- 84'J. Gamboa (D. Sanchez)
- 86'J. Rodriguez (Leonel López)
- 90+1'O. Soto
- 90+7'E. Arce
Lineups
- 1.5
- Goals/game
- 1.5
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.3
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Piratas, currently ranked 7th and unbeaten at home, remain a tough opponent following their recent victory and solid home form. In contrast, Cancún, sitting lower in the table with recent struggles away from home, could face challenges replicating their recent success. The scores indicate a likely narrow victory for Piratas.
- Piratas unbeaten in their last 2 matches with strong home form
- Cancún has lost their last 3 away matches
- Overall standing shows Piratas in playoff contention, while Cancún is in the lower half
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Piratas
- Strong home recordPiratas
Piratas have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins - Strong away recordCancún
Cancún have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins - Higher league positionPiratas
Piratas sit 2 places above Cancún in the table.
#8 vs #10 - Poor recent formCancún
Cancún have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Piratas has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Piratas at 56% — final result was Cancún win, Piratas 0-1 Cancún.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Piratas have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
- Cancún have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Cancún
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Venados FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Piratas vs Cancún?+
Our AI model favors Piratas to win, with a 56% probability (Draw 26%, Cancún 18%).
What time does Piratas vs Cancún kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).