Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers

NFL· Week 1
LWLLPoints 184-208
LWWWPoints 241-257
Home11W 0D 9L(411-397)
Away10W 1D 9L(486-463)

Acrisure Stadium

Today
Kickoff
In Progress
Final

Score by quarter

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pittsburgh Steelers
0771428
Green Bay Packers
33309

AI match analysis

Pittsburgh Steelers win
42%
Draw
12%
Green Bay Packers win
46%

Predicted score: 21-23

Data suggests a competitive matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Green Bay Packers. The Steelers have struggled, losing three of their last five games, while the Packers have lost all of theirs. Historically, the Packers have a favorable head-to-head record against the Steelers, which may influence the outcome. With both teams having similar scoring averages but the Packers conceding slightly more, the numbers favor Green Bay for this clash.

  • Steelers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • Packers have lost all of their last 5 matches
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches show Packers have the upper hand with 3 wins
  • Both teams have similar scoring averages, but Packers slightly higher conceding rates
AI ConfidenceLow confidence
35/100

Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Green Bay Packers

  • Poor recent formPittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Good recent formGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Historical edgeGreen Bay Packers

    Green Bay Packers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins
  • Tighter defensePittsburgh Steelers

    Pittsburgh Steelers are conceding just 20.8 points per game over their recent matches.

    20.8/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Below-average model confidence

    Overall model confidence for this match is 35/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Green Bay Packers at 46% — final result was Pittsburgh Steelers win, Pittsburgh Steelers 28-9 Green Bay Packers.

Predicted score was 21-23.

The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (35/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Green Bay Packers1.64market 60.8% · model 46%
Pittsburgh Steelers2.27market 44.1% · model 42%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Pittsburgh Steelers have averaged 18.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Green Bay Packers have averaged 24.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Pittsburgh Steelers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Green Bay Packers.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Pittsburgh Steelers2.27best 2.42AI 42%
Green Bay Packers1.64best 1.75AI 46%

Point spread

LinePittsburgh SteelersGreen Bay Packers
-21.921.92
-1.51.961.83
-11.891.94
+01.911.91
+11.891.92
+1.51.951.82
+2.51.941.83
+31.871.97

Total points

LineOverUnder
37.51.782.00
381.772.01
38.51.761.95
391.791.98
39.51.801.96
401.861.91
40.51.921.87
411.961.81

Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Pittsburgh Steelers2.27 0.17
Green Bay Packers1.64 0.10
13 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Pittsburgh Steelers win0pp
AI
42%
Market
42%
Green Bay Packers win-12pp
AI
46%
Market
58%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Pittsburgh Steelers wins
0Draws
3Green Bay Packers wins
130-160Points
Standings not available yet.

More NFL predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers?+

Our AI model favors Green Bay Packers to win, with a 46% probability (Pittsburgh Steelers 54%).

What time does Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by quarter in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers?+

Pittsburgh Steelers: 0-7-7-14. Green Bay Packers: 3-3-3-0. Final: 28-9.