Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers
Acrisure Stadium
Score by quarter
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 28 | |
| 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 21-23
Data suggests a competitive matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Green Bay Packers. The Steelers have struggled, losing three of their last five games, while the Packers have lost all of theirs. Historically, the Packers have a favorable head-to-head record against the Steelers, which may influence the outcome. With both teams having similar scoring averages but the Packers conceding slightly more, the numbers favor Green Bay for this clash.
- Steelers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Packers have lost all of their last 5 matches
- Last 5 head-to-head matches show Packers have the upper hand with 3 wins
- Both teams have similar scoring averages, but Packers slightly higher conceding rates
Confidence is low because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Green Bay Packers
- Poor recent formPittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Historical edgeGreen Bay Packers
Green Bay Packers have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
3/5 H2H wins - Tighter defensePittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers are conceding just 20.8 points per game over their recent matches.
20.8/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Below-average model confidence
Overall model confidence for this match is 35/100 — treat the prediction as directional rather than decisive.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Green Bay Packers at 46% — final result was Pittsburgh Steelers win, Pittsburgh Steelers 28-9 Green Bay Packers.
Predicted score was 21-23.
The model itself flagged this as a low confidence pick (35/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Pittsburgh Steelers have averaged 18.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Green Bay Packers have averaged 24.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Pittsburgh Steelers are unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 meetings with Green Bay Packers.
Odds comparison
Moneyline
Point spread
| Line | Pittsburgh Steelers | Green Bay Packers |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 1.92 | 1.92 |
| -1.5 | 1.96▲ | 1.83▼ |
| -1 | 1.89 | 1.94 |
| +0 | 1.91 | 1.91 |
| +1 | 1.89 | 1.92 |
| +1.5 | 1.95▲ | 1.82▼ |
| +2.5 | 1.94▲ | 1.83▼ |
| +3 | 1.87 | 1.97 |
Total points
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5 | 1.78▼ | 2.00▲ |
| 38 | 1.77 | 2.01 |
| 38.5 | 1.76 | 1.95 |
| 39 | 1.79▲ | 1.98▼ |
| 39.5 | 1.80▼ | 1.96▲ |
| 40 | 1.86▼ | 1.91▲ |
| 40.5 | 1.92▼ | 1.87▲ |
| 41 | 1.96 | 1.81 |
Average price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Moneyline — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
More NFL predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers?+
Our AI model favors Green Bay Packers to win, with a 46% probability (Pittsburgh Steelers 54%).
What time does Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 11:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the score by quarter in Pittsburgh Steelers vs Green Bay Packers?+
Pittsburgh Steelers: 0-7-7-14. Green Bay Packers: 3-3-3-0. Final: 28-9.

