Platense vs Coquimbo Unido

CONMEBOL Libertadores· Round of 16
DWWWGoals 6-122nd in league
DLDLGoals 15-91st in league
Home1W 1D 1L(3-4)
Away1W 0D 2L(2-4)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 5'P. Rodriguez
  2. 35'L. Gimenez (J. Saborido)
  3. 40'Benjamín Gazzolo
  4. 40'B. Merlini
  5. 61'P. Rodriguez (Guido Vadalá)
  6. 63'B. Merlini (Juan Gauto)
  7. 69'Alejandro Camargo (Salvador Cordero)
  8. 69'L. Pratto (F. Pons)
  9. 75'F. Zapiola (Nico López)
  10. 76'L. Gimenez (Héctor Bobadilla)
  11. 82'G. Mainero (G. Mainero)
  12. 85'L. Riveros (B. Chandia)
  13. 90+5'Guido Vadalá (Cristián Zavala)

Lineups

PlatenseCoquimbo Unido
0.6
Goals/game
1.5
1.2
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Platense win
45.73%
Draw
32.78%
Coquimbo Unido win
21.49%
39.1%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
25.9%Platense clean sheet
47.2%Coquimbo Unido clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The match analysis suggests a competitive encounter between Platense and Coquimbo Unido. Platense's form has been inconsistent, averaging just 0.6 goals scored over their last ten matches, whilst Coquimbo Unido benefits from a stronger scoring average of 1.7 goals in their last ten. Historically, the recent home and away records may weigh on Platense as they have performed moderately at home, while Coquimbo depends on an increasingly positive away trend despite recent losses.

  • Platense has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last 10 games
  • Coquimbo Unido averages 1.7 goals scored per game across their last 10 matches
  • Platense has a recent home record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss
  • Coquimbo Unido's away form shows they have lost 2 out of 3 away games this season.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
71/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Platense

  • Strong recent formPlatense

    Platense are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Sharper attackCoquimbo Unido

    Coquimbo Unido are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defenseCoquimbo Unido

    Coquimbo Unido are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded
  • Higher league positionCoquimbo Unido

    Coquimbo Unido sit 1 place above Platense in the table.

    #1 vs #2

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 46% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Platense at 45.73% — final result was a draw, Platense 1-1 Coquimbo Unido.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Platense2.07market 48.4% · model 45.73%
Draw2.86market 35% · model 32.78%
Coquimbo Unido4.27market 23.4% · model 21.49%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Platense have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Coquimbo Unido have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Platense wins
1Draws
0Coquimbo Unido wins
0-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Platense2.07best 2.15
Draw2.86best 3.20
Coquimbo Unido4.27best 4.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.94best 3.17
Under 2.51.37best 1.44

Both teams to score

Yes2.35best 2.45
No1.54best 1.65

Double chance

Platense/Draw1.21best 1.24
Platense/Coquimbo Unido1.38best 1.43
Draw/Coquimbo Unido1.73best 1.91

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.86best 1.90
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.81best 1.83
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.33best 1.33
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.13best 3.25

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Platense2.07 0.08
Draw2.86 0.09
Coquimbo Unido4.27 0.13
12 Aug12 Aug

Model vs market

Platense win+0.4pp
AI
45.73%
Market
45.3%
Draw0pp
AI
32.78%
Market
32.8%
Coquimbo Unido win-0.4pp
AI
21.49%
Market
21.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Platense
6312+110LDWW
1
Coquimbo Unido
6312+210WWLW

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game1.5
1.2Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Platense

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
18.8%
61-75'
12.5%
76-90+'
68.8%

Coquimbo Unido

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
11.1%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
77.8%

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Platense vs Coquimbo Unido?+

Our AI model favors Platense to win, with a 45.73% probability (Draw 32.78%, Coquimbo Unido 21.49%).

What time does Platense vs Coquimbo Unido kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 12, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).