Platense vs Instituto Cordoba

Copa Argentina· Round of 16
Platense
11After Penalties
Instituto Cordoba
DDWWGoals 6-12
DWWDGoals 6-6
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 28'M. Tissera (A. Luna)
  2. 28'Goal confirmed — M. Tissera
  3. 45+4'L. Gimenez (K. Retamar)
  4. 46'A. Luna (J. Lazaro)
  5. 54'T. Silva (K. Retamar)
  6. 62'P. Ferreira
  7. 67'M. Gallardo (J. Mendez)
  8. 67'J. E. Cordoba Mosquera
  9. 67'J. E. Cordoba Mosquera (L. Sanseviero)
  10. 68'M. Tissera (F. Suarez)
  11. 68'M. Tissera (L. Sanseviero)
  12. 70'G. Mainero (J. Gauto)
  13. 70'Nico López (B. Merlini)
  14. 79'P. Ferreira (I. Gomez)
  15. 79'G. Togni (F. Zapiola)
  16. 85'G. Abregu (J. Acevedo)
  17. 120+1'D. Sosa
  18. 120+1'F. Zapiola
  19. 120+2'F. Suarez
  20. 120+2'A. Lagos
  21. 120+3'J. Galvan
  22. 120+3'B. Merlini
  23. 120+4'J. Acevedo
Lineups unavailable for this match.
PlatenseInstituto Cordoba
0.6
Goals/game
0.6
1.2
Conceded/game
0.6

AI match analysis

Platense win
24.44%
Draw
34.27%
Instituto Cordoba win
41.28%
26.8%BTTS
19.1%Over 2.5
40.7%Platense clean sheet
54.9%Instituto Cordoba clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The numbers suggest a closely contested match between Platense and Instituto Cordoba, with both teams struggling for consistent scoring. Platense has only managed 0.6 goals per game on average, while Instituto has an equal scoring rate but boasts a better xG at 1.88 per game. Historical encounters have seen a mix of results, including draws and narrow wins, hinting at a possible draw or low-scoring affair.

  • Last 5 matches: Platense has 2 wins and 3 draws.
  • Instituto Cordoba has 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, showing better recent form.
  • Both teams average 0.6 goals scored in their last 10 matches, indicating difficulty in finding the net. The last four encounters show a competitive balance with multiple draws.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
59/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Instituto Cordoba

  • Tighter defenseInstituto Cordoba

    Instituto Cordoba are conceding just 0.6 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.6/game conceded
  • Historical edgePlatense

    Platense have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.

    2/4 H2H wins
  • Strong recent formPlatense

    Platense are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.

    3W 2D 0L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pick✓ Exact score

We picked Instituto Cordoba at 41.28% — final result was a draw, Platense 1-1 Instituto Cordoba.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (59/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Instituto Cordoba2.36market 42.4% · model 41.28%
Draw2.83market 35.3% · model 34.27%
Platense3.38market 29.6% · model 24.44%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Platense have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Instituto Cordoba have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 1 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Platense wins
1Draws
1Instituto Cordoba wins
3-3Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Platense3.38best 3.63
Draw2.83best 2.95
Instituto Cordoba2.36best 2.44

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.65best 2.82
Under 2.51.44best 1.48

Both teams to score

Yes2.12best 2.21
No1.65best 1.73

Double chance

Platense/Draw1.54best 1.62
Platense/Instituto Cordoba1.38best 1.44
Draw/Instituto Cordoba1.30best 1.36

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Platense3.38 0.33
Draw2.83 0.06
Instituto Cordoba2.36 0.19
25 Aug28 Aug

Model vs market

Platense win-3.2pp
AI
24.44%
Market
27.6%
Draw+1.4pp
AI
34.27%
Market
32.9%
Instituto Cordoba win+1.8pp
AI
41.28%
Market
39.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game0.6
1.2Goals conceded per game0.6

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Platense

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
7.1%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
14.3%
76-90+'
64.3%

Instituto Cordoba

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More Copa Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Platense vs Instituto Cordoba?+

Our AI model favors Instituto Cordoba to win, with a 41.28% probability (Draw 34.27%, Platense 24.44%).

What time does Platense vs Instituto Cordoba kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 28, 2026, 12:15 AM (your local time, based on your device).