Plymouth vs Coventry

League Cup· Round of 64
Plymouth
24Full-time
Coventry
WWLDGoals 19-13
WWWLGoals 21-9
Home Park

Home Park, Plymouth · Capacity 19,500 · grass

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 3'Taiwo Awoniyi (C. Yirenkyi)
  2. 5'J. Rudoni (Taiwo Awoniyi)
  3. 12'J. Latibeaudiere
  4. 21'O. Irow (H. White)
  5. 46'C. Watts (X. Amaechi)
  6. 46'B. Thomas (Aurele Amenda)
  7. 54'X. Amaechi
  8. 59'O. Irow (T. Finn)
  9. 59'H. White (C. Roberts)
  10. 59'W. Evans (A. Pepple)
  11. 62'X. Amaechi
  12. 62'J. Rudoni (E. Mason-Clark)
  13. 67'E. Mason-Clark (V. Torp)
  14. 70'C. Yirenkyi (J. Eccles)
  15. 70'Taiwo Awoniyi (S. Cherif)
  16. 70'G. Hamer (B. Thomas-Asante)
  17. 74'T. Bakinson (J. Edwards)
  18. 78'V. Torp
  19. 85'J. Eccles

Lineups

PlymouthCoventry
1.9
Goals/game
2.1
1.3
Conceded/game
0.9

AI match analysis

Plymouth win
20%
Draw
23%
Coventry win
57%
61.6%BTTS
59.9%Over 2.5
18.3%Plymouth clean sheet
24.7%Coventry clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Recent form indicates that Coventry has been performing significantly better, winning four of their last five matches, while Plymouth's form shows mixed results with just two wins in their last five outings. Head-to-head history suggests a competitive rivalry, but Coventry's solid scoring average of 2.1 goals per match further emphasizes their attacking strength. The data suggests a possible edge for Coventry in this matchup.

  • Coventry has won 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Plymouth has an average of 1.9 goals scored per game
  • Coventry has a stronger recent form with only 1 loss in their last 5 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Coventry

  • Good recent formPlymouth

    Plymouth have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Good recent formCoventry

    Coventry have won 4 of their last 5 matches.

    4W 0D 1L
  • Sharper attackCoventry

    Coventry are averaging 2.1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.1/game
  • Tighter defenseCoventry

    Coventry are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.9/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Coventry at 57% — final result was Coventry win, Plymouth 2-4 Coventry.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Coventry1.63market 61.5% · model 57%
Draw4.08market 24.5% · model 23%
Plymouth4.92market 20.3% · model 20%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Plymouth have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Coventry have averaged 2.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Plymouth wins
1Draws
3Coventry wins
7-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Plymouth4.92best 5.25
Draw4.08best 4.30
Coventry1.63best 1.70

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.64best 1.68
Under 2.52.20best 2.31

Both teams to score

Yes1.65best 1.70
No2.12best 2.20

Double chance

Plymouth/Draw2.23best 2.38
Plymouth/Coventry1.22best 1.25
Draw/Coventry1.17best 1.20

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.11best 1.11
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.00best 6.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.43best 1.44
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.63best 2.65

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Plymouth4.92 0.57
Draw4.08 0.32
Coventry1.62 0.08
22 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Plymouth win+0.9pp
AI
20%
Market
19.1%
Draw0pp
AI
23%
Market
23%
Coventry win-0.9pp
AI
57%
Market
57.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game2.1
1.3Goals conceded per game0.9

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Plymouth

0-15'
0%
16-30'
25%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
75%

Coventry

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Plymouth vs Coventry?+

Our AI model favors Coventry to win, with a 57% probability (Draw 23%, Plymouth 20%).

Where is Plymouth vs Coventry played?+

The match is played at Home Park, Plymouth (capacity 19,500).

What time does Plymouth vs Coventry kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).