Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk
Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr · Capacity 5,928 · grass · Referee: O. Afanasyev
Value found
+5.8% edgeZorya Luhansk win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 16'O. Fedor
- 46'Vasyl Kravets (Artem Macheliuk)
- 54'R. Babenko
- 58'A. Glushchenko
- 60'Leandro Andrade (Maksym Bragaru)
- 60'O. Fedor (O. Filippov)
- 63'I. Nesterenko (Jakov Bašić)
- 68'O. Andrievskyi (L. Emërllahu)
- 68'V. Veleten (O. Nazarenko)
- 72'Igor Krasnopir (Mykola Haiduchyk)
- 73'I. Nesterenko
- 77'A. Glushchenko (P. Budkivskiy)
- 77'I. Perduta (Juninho)
- 77'D. Jelavić (Italo Henrique)
- 77'Jakov Bašić (K. Dryshlyuk)
- 1.8
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 0.8
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Polessya enters the match with a strong edge, given their recent home form and head-to-head success against Zorya Luhansk, including a 2-0 victory in their last meeting at home. Zorya Luhansk has struggled recently, notably with a loss in their latest match and an overall negative form. Historically, Polessya has been effective at converting chances at home, leading to a predicted score favoring them.
- Polessya unbeaten in last 5 home matches against Zorya Luhansk
- Polessya has won both of its home games this season
- Zorya Luhansk has lost its last match and struggled away
- Polessya averages 1.8 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Polessya
- Sharper attackPolessya
Polessya are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game - Historical edgePolessya
Polessya have won 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.
3/6 H2H wins - Higher league positionZorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk sit 2 places above Polessya in the table.
#3 vs #5 - Good recent formPolessya
Polessya have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Polessya at 65% — final result was Zorya Luhansk win, Polessya 1-2 Zorya Luhansk.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Polessya have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Zorya Luhansk have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 0 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 10 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |  Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 | LWW |
| 3 |  Zorya Luhansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Zorya Luhansk
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Who is likely to win Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?+
Our AI model favors Polessya to win, with a 65% probability (Draw 22%, Zorya Luhansk 13%).
Where is Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk played?+
The match is played at Tsentralnyi Stadion, Zhytomyr (capacity 5,928).
What time does Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).