Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons

AFL Premiership· Regular Season 23
LLLWPoints 731-98615th on the ladder · 7-16-0
WWWLPoints 1028-8557th on the ladder · 15-8-0
Home8W 0D 12L(1591-1623)
Away8W 0D 12L(1797-1808)

Adelaide Oval

Today
First Bounce
In Progress
Final

Score

TeamGoalsBehindsFinal
Port Adelaide Power
8856
Melbourne Demons
2012132

AI match analysis

Port Adelaide Power win
35%
Draw
10%
Melbourne Demons win
55%

Predicted score: 71-82

Analysis suggests that the Melbourne Demons have a stronger offensive output based on their recent scoring average compared to Port Adelaide Power's higher points conceded. Historically, the Demons have also fared better in head-to-head encounters. With Port Adelaide struggling with form, these factors indicate a possible advantage for the away team.

  • Melbourne Demons averaged 87.9 points scored in their last 10 matches
  • Port Adelaide Power has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Melbourne Demons have a historical head-to-head advantage with 3 wins in the last 5 meetings
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
55/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Melbourne Demons

  • Tighter defenseMelbourne Demons

    Melbourne Demons are conceding just 85.5 points per game over their recent matches.

    85.5/game conceded
  • Historical edgePort Adelaide Power

    Port Adelaide Power have won 3 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    3/5 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Melbourne Demons at 55% — final result was Melbourne Demons win, Port Adelaide Power 56-132 Melbourne Demons.

Predicted score was 71-82.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Match trends

  • Port Adelaide Power have averaged 73.1 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Melbourne Demons have averaged 102.8 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Port Adelaide Power are unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 meetings with Melbourne Demons.
Odds not available for this match yet.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

3Port Adelaide Power wins
0Draws
2Melbourne Demons wins
384-374Points

Ladder

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Fremantle Dockers
231904+62076WLWW
2
Sydney Swans
231805+67472WWWW
3
Brisbane Lions
231607+44564WWLW
4
Hawthorn Hawks
231526+37964DLWW
5
Geelong Cats
231508+43060WWWW
6
Adelaide Crows
231508+32060LWWL
7
Melbourne Demons
231508+20260WWWL
8
Western Bulldogs
231319-9154DLLW
9
Collingwood Magpies
231229+4752DWLW
10
Carlton Blues
2312110+2950DWWW
11
St Kilda Saints
2310013+5640WLLW
12
Greater Western Sydney Giants
2310013-2240WLWL
13
Gold Coast Suns
239014-11736LWLL
14
North Melbourne Kangaroos
239014-24336LWLL
15
Port Adelaide Power
237016-24528LLLL
16
West Coast Eagles
234019-71816LLLL
17
Richmond Tigers
233020-89012LLWL
18
Essendon Bombers
232021-8768LLLL

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons?+

Our AI model favors Melbourne Demons to win, with a 55% probability (Port Adelaide Power 45%).

What time does Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons start?+

First bounce is at Aug 15, 2026, 10:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the final score in Port Adelaide Power vs Melbourne Demons?+

Port Adelaide Power: 8.8 (56). Melbourne Demons: 20.12 (132).