Port Vale vs Crewe
Match events
- 63'Substitution 1 (Ryan Croasdale)
- 70'Ben Waine (Tyreece Simpson)
- 70'Substitution 3 (Jaheim·Headley)
- 78'Jordan Gibson (Calum·Agius)
- 78'Jack Lankester (Joe White)
- 80'Mickey Demetriou
- 87'Josh March (Charlie McNeill)
- 87'Joel Tabiner (Adrien thibaut)
- 88'Rhys Walters (Matthew Craig)
- 90+4'Mickey Demetriou (Conor Thomas)
Lineups
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a competitive matchup, with Crewe showing strong early season form and Port Vale still seeking their first win. Historically, Port Vale has performed well against Crewe, managing to remain unbeaten in their last five encounters. However, Port Vale's current struggles, particularly in scoring, could limit their ability to secure all three points in this fixture.
- Crewe currently ranked 2nd with 6 points from 2 matches
- Port Vale has a recent form of DL, struggling to score
- Historical head-to-head dominance in favor of Port Vale, unbeaten in last 5 meetings against Crewe
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Port Vale
- Weak home recordPort Vale
Port Vale have won 0 of their last 2 home matches.
0/2 home wins - Strong away recordCrewe
Crewe have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins - Higher league positionCrewe
Crewe sit 15 places above Port Vale in the table.
#5 vs #20 - Historical edgePort Vale
Port Vale have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Port Vale at 42% — final result was a draw, Port Vale 0-0 Crewe.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (76/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Port Vale have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Crewe have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Crewe
Port ValePort ValeCrewePort ValeCreweCrewePort ValePort ValeCreweCrewePort ValeCrewePort ValePort ValeCreweOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
B. Toner
Based on 24 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Port Vale
Crewe
More League Two predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Port Vale vs Crewe?+
Our AI model favors Port Vale to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 27%, Crewe 31%).
What time does Port Vale vs Crewe kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 11:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).