Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts
Shamrock Park, Portadown · Capacity 5,732 · grass · Referee: D. Hassan
Match events
- 14'K. Lowe
- 51'F. Flanagan (B. Kennedy)
- 64'S. Gordon (T. Kelly)
- 64'A. Mitchell (J. Ogedi-Uzokwe)
- 67'B. Altintop
- 68'D. Martins
- 70'D. Martins (A. Towe)
- 70'B. Altintop (B. Wells)
- 84'J. Scott
- 84'S. McAllister
- 84'D. Wallace
- 84'R. Breen
- 85'P. Doyle
- 86'S. McAllister (C. Smith)
- 89'C. Falls (S. O'Mahoney)
- 89'J. Glackin (K. Dillon)
Lineups
PortadownCoach: David Jeffrey
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.1
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 2.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
The data suggests a competitive matchup, though Dungannon Swifts may hold a slight advantage based on recent scoring averages. Portadown's defensive issues could be a significant factor, as they average 1.6 goals conceded per game. Historically, Dungannon Swifts have had the upper hand in their recent encounters, which further supports the likelihood of an away victory.
- Dungannon Swifts have scored 0.9 goals per game on average in their last 10 matches.
- Portadown has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
- Historically, Dungannon Swifts have won 3 out of the last 5 encounters against Portadown.
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Dungannon Swifts
- Tighter defensePortadown
Portadown are conceding just 1.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game conceded - Poor recent formPortadown
Portadown have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Good recent formDungannon Swifts
Dungannon Swifts have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackPortadown
Portadown are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 39% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Dungannon Swifts at 39% — final result was Dungannon Swifts win, Portadown 0-1 Dungannon Swifts.
Predicted score was 1-2.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Portadown have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Dungannon Swifts have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Portadown
Dungannon SwiftsDungannon SwiftsPortadownDungannon SwiftsPortadownPortadownDungannon SwiftsDungannon SwiftsPortadownPortadownDungannon SwiftsDungannon SwiftsPortadownPortadownDungannon SwiftsOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Portadown | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 | LLL |
| 5 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
D. Hassan
Based on 10 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Portadown
Dungannon Swifts
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Crusaders FCFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts?+
Our AI model favors Dungannon Swifts to win, with a 39% probability (Draw 27%, Portadown 34%).
Where is Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts played?+
The match is played at Shamrock Park, Portadown (capacity 5,732).
What time does Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).