Portimonense vs Leixoes
Match events
- 26'Paulinho
- 36'Tiago Filipe Prazeres Ferreira
- 39'Bryan Rochez (Claudio Vtor Rodrigues Araujo)
- 46'Paulinho (Fernando Fonseca)
- 46'Marlon Junior (Yanis da Rocha)
- 46'Joao casimiro (Midana Bigna Soares Cassama)
- 59'João Assunção (Agustin armas de)
- 68'Dânio Djassi (Welinton Junior)
- 68'Tiago Filipe Prazeres Ferreira (Thauan Lara dos Santos)
- 71'Luccas Paraizo (Kaique Rodrigues Barbosa Santos)
- 71'Salvador Agra (Miguel Ferreira de Sousa)
- 76'Bryan Rochez
- 83'Rafael Barbosa (Semeu Commey)
- 85'Midana Bigna Soares Cassama
- 85'Fernando Fonseca
- 86'João Reis
- 88'Kaique Rodrigues Barbosa Santos
- 1.4
- Goals/game
- 1.7
- 1.0
- Conceded/game
- 1.1
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The analysis indicates a balanced matchup, with both teams showing varying forms; Portimonense remains unbeaten in their last five matches while Leixoes has struggled on the road this season. Historically, Leixoes has had the upper hand in their recent encounters. Given these factors, a draw seems statistically plausible, with both teams expected to score based on recent averages.
- Portimonense unbeaten in last 5 matches (DWWWW)
- Leixoes has lost their only away match this season
- Recent head-to-head results favor Leixoes historically (2-1-1)
Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Portimonense
- Strong home recordPortimonense
Portimonense have won 1 of their last 1 home matches.
1/1 home wins - Weak away recordLeixoes
Leixoes have won 0 of their last 1 away matches.
0/1 away wins - Historical edgeLeixoes
Leixoes have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionPortimonense
Portimonense sit 7 places above Leixoes in the table.
#4 vs #11
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 35% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Portimonense at 35% — final result was Leixoes win, Portimonense 0-2 Leixoes.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (66/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Portimonense have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Leixoes have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Portimonense | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +3 | 7 | DWW |
| 11 |  Leixoes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
I. Vasilica
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Portimonense
Leixoes
More Segunda Liga predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Portimonense vs Leixoes?+
Our AI model favors Portimonense to win, with a 35% probability (Draw 30%, Leixoes 35%).
What time does Portimonense vs Leixoes kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 10:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).