Preston vs Everton

League Cup· Round of 64
Preston
04Full-time
Everton
LWLLGoals 13-19
LWDWGoals 15-18
Deepdale

Deepdale, Preston · Capacity 23,408 · grass · Referee: T. Harrington

Value found

+31.1% edge

Preston win

6.39AI fair odds
8.37Bookmaker odds
+31.1%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 25'Thierno Barry (V. Mykolenko)
  2. 59'Thierno Barry
  3. 61'Jusef Erabi (C. Lang)
  4. 61'T. Small (A. McCann)
  5. 61'L. Leroy (A. Devine)
  6. 61'D. Burgzorg (H. Clarke)
  7. 64'T. Dibling (N. Patterson)
  8. 64'James Garner (Brennan Johnson)
  9. 70'Thierno Barry (Brennan Johnson)
  10. 72'Brennan Johnson (Thierno Barry)
  11. 81'K. Dewsbury-Hall (C. Alcaraz)
  12. 81'I. Ndiaye (T. George)
  13. 81'V. Mykolenko (A. Aznou)
  14. 81'Thierno Barry (A. Aznou)
  15. 85'A. McCann (G. Gryba)

Lineups

PrestonEverton
1.3
Goals/game
1.5
1.9
Conceded/game
1.8

AI match analysis

Preston win
15.66%
Draw
21.69%
Everton win
62.65%
64.4%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
18.3%Preston clean sheet
21.2%Everton clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Everton enters this match in relatively better form compared to Preston, who has struggled recently, losing four of their last five encounters. With Everton averaging 1.5 goals scored per match and Preston conceding 1.9, the numbers favor an away win, as Everton has shown resilience in their last three matches.

  • Everton unbeaten in last 3 matches
  • Preston has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Home team averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent games
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Everton

  • Poor recent formPreston

    Preston have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Sharper attackEverton

    Everton are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defenseEverton

    Everton are conceding just 1.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Everton at 62.65% — final result was Everton win, Preston 0-4 Everton.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Everton1.34market 74.6% · model 62.65%
Draw5.15market 19.4% · model 21.69%
Preston8.37market 11.9% · model 15.66%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Preston have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Everton have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Preston8.37best 10.00
Draw5.15best 5.50
Everton1.34best 1.40

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.60best 1.62
Under 2.52.29best 2.36

Both teams to score

Yes1.89best 1.97
No1.83best 1.95

Double chance

Preston/Draw3.12best 3.50
Preston/Everton1.15best 1.20
Draw/Everton1.08best 1.14

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.64best 1.65
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.15best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.38best 7.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.10best 1.10

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Preston8.37 2.79
Draw5.15 1.01
Everton1.34 0.18
25 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Preston win+4.4pp
AI
15.66%
Market
11.3%
Draw+3.4pp
AI
21.69%
Market
18.3%
Everton win-7.8pp
AI
62.65%
Market
70.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.3Goals scored per game1.5
1.9Goals conceded per game1.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

T. Harrington

4.07Yellow cards / game
0.29Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 14 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Preston

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

Everton

0-15'
0%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
16.7%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Preston vs Everton?+

Our AI model favors Everton to win, with a 62.65% probability (Draw 21.69%, Preston 15.66%).

Where is Preston vs Everton played?+

The match is played at Deepdale, Preston (capacity 23,408).

What time does Preston vs Everton kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).