Puerto Cabello vs Rayo Zuliano — Primera División

Primera División· Clausura - 4

Puerto Cabello

2–0Full-time

Rayo Zuliano

LWDLWDGoals 15-81st in league

LLWWLWGoals 13-1411th in league

Home2W 1D 0L(5-3)

Away2W 1D 4L(7-14)

St James Park, Exeter · Referee: R. Gonzalez

Match events

14'D. Saggiomo (J. Hernandez)
23'Jhon Marchán (E. Pernía)
33'S. Orejuela
33'E. Pernía
46'H. Linares (L. Casiani)
51'S. Orejuela
51'S. Orejuela
54'D. A. Vasquez Ferrer (S. Garces)
60'D. Copete
63'D. Copete (J. Arias)
63'J. Velez (G. Martínez)
67'E. Pernía (R. Flores)
71'L. Romero
76'Jhon Marchán (A. Ponce)
76'M. Isah (G. González)
77'G. Bortagaray
77'A. Kinsler (J. Julio)
77'C. Romero (L. Dugarte)
90+1'J. Castillo (J. Hernandez)
90'G. Martínez

Lineups

AI match analysis

Puerto Cabello win

64.99%

Draw

21.82%

Rayo Zuliano win

13.19%

49.8%BTTS

45.6%Over 2.5

35%Puerto Cabello clean sheet

23.5%Rayo Zuliano clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests a strong advantage for Puerto Cabello as they have not lost at home this season, boasting an unbeaten record. In contrast, Rayo Zuliano’s poor away form, combined with a recent string of three losses, indicates they may struggle in this matchup. Historically, while head-to-head matches have been competitive, Puerto Cabello has had the upper hand recently, supporting their potential for a home victory.

Puerto Cabello unbeaten at home this season with 2 wins and 1 draw.
Rayo Zuliano has recent away struggles, with 4 losses in their last 7 away games.
Recent head-to-head matches suggest close contests, but Puerto Cabello has won 3 out of the last 5 encounters.

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Puerto Cabello

Higher league positionPuerto Cabello
Puerto Cabello sit 10 places above Rayo Zuliano in the table.
#1 vs #11
Good recent formRayo Zuliano
Rayo Zuliano have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L
Strong home recordPuerto Cabello
Puerto Cabello have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins
Weak away recordRayo Zuliano
Rayo Zuliano have won 2 of their last 7 away matches.
2/7 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Puerto Cabello at 64.99% — final result was Puerto Cabello win, Puerto Cabello 2-0 Rayo Zuliano.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Puerto Cabello ✓1.40market 71.3% · model 64.99%

Draw4.12market 24.3% · model 21.82%

Rayo Zuliano7.34market 13.6% · model 13.19%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Puerto Cabello have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Rayo Zuliano have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Puerto Cabello wins

1Draws

2Rayo Zuliano wins

9-5Goals

Rayo Zuliano

0–0Aug 17, 2025, 7:30 PM

Puerto Cabello

1–0Mar 10, 2025, 12:30 AM

Rayo Zuliano

3–2Aug 20, 2024, 7:00 PM

Puerto Cabello

3–1Mar 3, 2024, 11:00 PM

Rayo Zuliano

1–0Oct 7, 2023, 7:30 PM

Puerto Cabello

3–0Feb 5, 2023, 11:30 PM

Rayo Zuliano

Odds comparison

Match winner

Puerto Cabello1.40best 1.44

Draw4.12best 4.50

Rayo Zuliano7.34best 8.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.83best 1.95

Under 2.51.89best 1.99

Both teams to score

Yes2.04best 2.38

No1.69best 1.80

Double chance

Puerto Cabello/Draw1.07best 1.09

Puerto Cabello/Rayo Zuliano1.18best 1.22

Draw/Rayo Zuliano2.73best 3.00

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes6.00best 6.00

Clean Sheet - Home — No2.10best 2.10

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.67best 1.67

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.12best 1.12

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Puerto Cabello1.40▲ 0.01

Draw4.12▼ 0.04

Rayo Zuliano7.34▲ 0.07

14 Aug – 14 Aug

Model vs market

Puerto Cabello win-0.3pp

AI

64.99%

Market

65.3%

Draw-0.4pp

AI

21.82%

Market

22.2%

Rayo Zuliano win+0.7pp

AI

13.19%

Market

12.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.