Pumas vs Cheetahs

Currie Cup· 7
Pumas
5226Full-time
Cheetahs
LWLWPoints 323-245
LWWLPoints 294-313
Home8W 1D 11L(620-624)
Away11W 0D 9L(631-581)

Value found

+6% edge

Draw

20AI fair odds
21.20Bookmaker odds
+6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Kickoff
In Progress
Full-time

Score by half

Team1H2HFinal
Pumas
52
Cheetahs
26

AI match analysis

Pumas win
40%
Draw
5%
Cheetahs win
55%

Predicted score: 27-35

Data suggests that the Cheetahs hold a strong advantage, having won the last five matchups against the Pumas. Historically, the Pumas struggle at home, particularly against the Cheetahs, who carry a higher away win rate this season. The projected score reflects Cheetahs' offensive strength and Pumas' defensive vulnerabilities.

  • Cheetahs have a 60% away win rate this season.
  • Cheetahs have won 4 of their last 5 encounters against Pumas.
  • Pumas have a 42% home win rate this season.
  • The last 2 home matches for Pumas against Cheetahs ended in losses with scores of 14-41 and 25-42.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
64/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Cheetahs

  • Historical edgeCheetahs

    Cheetahs have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

    4/5 H2H wins
  • Good recent formPumas

    Pumas have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Poor recent formCheetahs

    Cheetahs have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Strong home recordPumas

    Pumas have won 8 of their last 20 home matches.

    8/20 home wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Cheetahs at 55% — final result was Pumas win, Pumas 52-26 Cheetahs.

Predicted score was 27-35.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (64/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Cheetahs1.79market 55.9% · model 55%
Pumas2.08market 48.2% · model 40%
Draw21.20market 4.7% · model 5%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Pumas have averaged 32.3 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Cheetahs have averaged 29.4 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Pumas are unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 meetings with Cheetahs.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Pumas2.08best 2.10AI 40%
Draw21.20best 27.00AI 5%
Cheetahs1.79best 1.83AI 55%

Points spread

LinePumasCheetahs
-1.52.161.63
+02.001.73
+0.51.901.82
+11.911.83
+1.51.861.86
+21.851.88
+2.51.771.96
+3.51.682.08

Total points

LineOverUnder
56.51.732.00
57.51.831.90
58.51.841.86
59.51.891.80
601.821.93
60.51.951.81
611.921.83
61.52.151.63

Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Pumas2.08
Draw21.20
Cheetahs1.79
29 Aug29 Aug

Model vs market

Pumas win-4.3pp
AI
40%
Market
44.3%
Draw+0.7pp
AI
5%
Market
4.3%
Cheetahs win+3.6pp
AI
55%
Market
51.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Pumas wins
0Draws
4Cheetahs wins
131-158Points
Standings not available yet.

More Currie Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Pumas vs Cheetahs?+

Our AI model favors Cheetahs to win, with a 55% probability (Pumas 40%).

What time does Pumas vs Cheetahs kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What was the score by half in Pumas vs Cheetahs?+

Pumas: . Cheetahs: . Final: 52-26.