Puskas Academy vs Paks

NB I· Regular Season - 4
Puskas Academy
32Full-time
Paks
WWWWGoals 19-121st in league
DLDWGoals 11-136th in league
Home1W 0D 1L(3-4)
Away0W 0D 2L(4-8)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'Dániel Lukács
  2. 30'J. Szalai (Zsolt Haraszti)
  3. 41'Pálko Dárdai (A. Nemeth)
  4. 46'Zsolt Haraszti (B. Lenzsér)
  5. 46'Erik Silye (József Windecker)
  6. 59'József Windecker (K. Papp)
  7. 61'Pálko Dárdai (Mikael Soisalo)
  8. 61'M. Kern (Z. Varga)
  9. 68'A. Nemeth (Lamin Colley)
  10. 75'Kevin Horváth (Gergő Gyurkits)
  11. 78'L. Duarte
  12. 84'Milán Pető (Barna Tóth)
  13. 90+1'Lamin Colley (R. Szolnoki)
  14. 90+2'Z. Varga

Lineups

Puskas AcademyPaks
1.9
Goals/game
1.1
1.2
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Puskas Academy win
42%
Draw
26%
Paks win
32%
54.5%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
31.7%Puskas Academy clean sheet
20.2%Paks clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Puskas Academy is in favorable form with four wins and a draw in their last five matches, while Paks has struggled with only one draw and four losses in the same timeframe. Puskas Academy's home advantage might be significant, given their recent home performance despite a loss in their only home game this season. The historical head-to-head also highlights a slight edge for Puskas Academy in this matchup.

  • Puskas Academy unbeaten in last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw)
  • Paks has not won in their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 losses)
  • Puskas Academy has an overall better recent form compared to Paks
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
75/100

Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Puskas Academy

  • Strong recent formPuskas Academy

    Puskas Academy are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.

    4W 1D 0L
  • Sharper attackPuskas Academy

    Puskas Academy are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Higher league positionPuskas Academy

    Puskas Academy sit 5 places above Paks in the table.

    #1 vs #6
  • Tighter defensePuskas Academy

    Puskas Academy are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.2/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Puskas Academy at 42% — final result was Puskas Academy win, Puskas Academy 3-2 Paks.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (75/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Puskas Academy2.16market 46.2% · model 42%
Paks2.90market 34.5% · model 32%
Draw3.51market 28.5% · model 26%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Puskas Academy have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Paks have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Puskas Academy wins
1Draws
4Paks wins
15-13Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Puskas Academy2.16best 2.27
Draw3.51best 3.70
Paks2.90best 3.01

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.50best 1.57
Under 2.52.41best 2.60

Both teams to score

Yes1.43best 1.47
No2.58best 2.70

Double chance

Puskas Academy/Draw1.36best 1.42
Puskas Academy/Paks1.24best 1.29
Draw/Paks1.62best 1.70

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes4.00best 4.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes5.50best 5.50
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.14best 1.14

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Puskas Academy2.16 0.04
Draw3.51 0.24
Paks2.90 0.05
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

Puskas Academy win-0.3pp
AI
42%
Market
42.3%
Draw-0.1pp
AI
26%
Market
26.1%
Paks win+0.4pp
AI
32%
Market
31.6%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Puskas Academy
5401+312WWLW
6
Paks
521207LDLW

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game1.1
1.2Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Puskas Academy

0-15'
10.5%
16-30'
15.8%
31-45'
26.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
10.5%
76-90+'
36.8%

Paks

0-15'
0%
16-30'
33.3%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
22.2%

More NB I predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Puskas Academy vs Paks?+

Our AI model favors Puskas Academy to win, with a 42% probability (Draw 26%, Paks 32%).

What time does Puskas Academy vs Paks kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).