Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long
Match events
- 47'Aziz (Samir Memisevic)
- 47'Goal Disallowed - offside — Aziz
- 54'Liang Weipeng (Xiang Yuwang)
- 54'Du Yuezheng (L. Dimata)
- 57'Yang Zhanpeng (Xinli Peng)
- 77'M. Ngadeu-Ngadjui
- 78'Xiaoqiang He (Zhang Yingkai)
- 78'G. Cimpanu (Wu Yongqiang)
- 82'Xiuwei Zhang (Jingchao Meng)
- 82'Gengrui Wang (Longhai He)
- 90'Yu Dong (Elnizar Lohman)
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match, with Qingdao Youth Island having a solid home record while remaining unbeaten at home this season. Chongqing Tongliang Long is currently in a poor run of form having lost their last three matches, which could further challenge their away efforts. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede in relatively equal measures, leading to a predicted score of 1-1.
- Qingdao Youth Island unbeaten at home this season with 4 wins and 7 draws
- Chongqing Tongliang Long has lost their last three matches
- Recent form for Qingdao shows 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game
- Chongqing has struggled defensively, averaging 3 conceded goals in their last match
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Qingdao Youth Island
- Tighter defenseQingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Poor recent formChongqing Tongliang Long
Chongqing Tongliang Long have lost 2 of their last 2 matches.
0W 0D 2L - Sharper attackChongqing Tongliang Long
Chongqing Tongliang Long are averaging 1 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1/game - Higher league positionQingdao Youth Island
Qingdao Youth Island sit 4 places above Chongqing Tongliang Long in the table.
#3 vs #7
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- Limited recent-match sample
Chongqing Tongliang Long has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 44% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Qingdao Youth Island at 44% — final result was a draw, Qingdao Youth Island 0-0 Chongqing Tongliang Long.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Qingdao Youth Island have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chongqing Tongliang Long have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 2 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Qingdao Youth Island | 24 | 8 | 12 | 4 | -1 | 36 | DDWW |
| 7 |  Chongqing Tongliang Long | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | -3 | 30 | DLLL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 2 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Qingdao Youth Island
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Who is likely to win Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long?+
Our AI model favors Qingdao Youth Island to win, with a 44% probability (Draw 30%, Chongqing Tongliang Long 26%).
What time does Qingdao Youth Island vs Chongqing Tongliang Long kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).