Qizilqum vs Nasaf
Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy · Capacity 15,000 · grass · Referee: A. Risqullaev
Match events
- 43'N. Nematkhonov
- 46'M. Rakhmatov (A. Gulomov)
- 46'S. Mukhitdinov (S. Bakhromov)
- 50'N. Nematkhonov
- 57'A. Komilov (D. Murtazoyev)
- 57'P. Ghudushauri (A. Shala)
- 65'S. Turopov (R. Paparyga)
- 76'R. Roziev (G. Chabradze)
- 76'F. Jumankuziev (I. Kenzhaboev)
- 77'B. Rahmatov (Y. Berdirahmonov)
- 77'J. Jighauri (S. Shukurillaev)
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 0.5
- 2.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests that Nasaf has a stronger recent form compared to Qizilqum, winning 2 of their last 3 outings while Qizilqum has struggled with 4 losses in their recent matches. The head-to-head record heavily favors Nasaf, indicating they have consistently performed well against Qizilqum. With Qizilqum's leaky defense averaging 2.1 goals conceded per game, the numbers favor an away victory.
- Qizilqum has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
- Nasaf has won 2 of their last 3 games
- Head-to-head history favors Nasaf with 4 wins in last 5 encounters
- Qizilqum has a negative goal difference of -10 this season
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Nasaf
- Historical edgeNasaf
Nasaf have won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
6/8 H2H wins - Sharper attackQizilqum
Qizilqum are averaging 1.2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game - Tighter defenseNasaf
Nasaf are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded - Poor recent formQizilqum
Qizilqum have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
1W 1D 3L
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Nasaf at 50.78% — final result was Qizilqum win, Qizilqum 1-0 Nasaf.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (84/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Qizilqum have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Nasaf have averaged 0.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
A. Risqullaev
Based on 4 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Qizilqum
Nasaf
More Super League predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Qizilqum vs Nasaf?+
Our AI model favors Nasaf to win, with a 50.78% probability (Draw 29.41%, Qizilqum 19.81%).
Where is Qizilqum vs Nasaf played?+
The match is played at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi, Navoiy (capacity 15,000).
What time does Qizilqum vs Nasaf kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).