Racing Montevideo vs Club Nacional — Primera División

Primera División· Clausura - 2

Racing Montevideo

2–0Full-time

Club Nacional

DWLDDDGoals 7-181st in league

LLWLWDGoals 9-142nd in league

Home4W 3D 1L(13-8)

Estadio Centenario, Montevideo · Capacity 60,235 · grass

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

29'A. Rogel
44'Y. Oyarzo
46'L. Boggio (Ruben Botta)
55'T. Habib
59'B. Nunez (J. De Los Santos)
59'B. Zuculini (L. Rodríguez)
64'F. Alvarez
68'J. Bosca
72'J. Bosca (E. Bentancor)
72'T. Habib (F. Gonzalez)
72'A. Rogel (Tomas Veron Lupi)
83'F. Alvarez
86'E. Da Silva (Nicolás Sosa)
86'S. da Silva (R. Gadea)
88'Brazionis (J. Varela)
89'Santiago Silva (A. Dos Santos)
89'Francisco Calvo

Lineups unavailable for this match.

Racing MontevideoClub Nacional

0.7
Goals/game: 0.9; 1.8
Conceded/game: 1.4

AI match analysis

Racing Montevideo win

25%

Draw

30%

Club Nacional win

45%

48.2%BTTS

43%Over 2.5

25.9%Racing Montevideo clean sheet

35%Club Nacional clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests that Club Nacional has historically performed well against Racing Montevideo, being unbeaten in their last five encounters. Racing Montevideo's recent form shows struggles in front of goal, averaging only 0.7 scored in their last 10 matches, which favors Club Nacional who have a better scoring average despite their own inconsistency. Given these trends, the numbers point towards a possible away victory.

Club Nacional unbeaten in last 5 head-to-head matches against Racing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo averaging 0.7 goals scored in last 10 matches
Club Nacional has a stronger recent form with 2 wins in last 5 matches

AI ConfidenceModerate confidence

69/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Club Nacional

Historical edgeClub Nacional
Club Nacional have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins
Higher league positionRacing Montevideo
Racing Montevideo sit 1 place above Club Nacional in the table.
#1 vs #2
Sharper attackClub Nacional
Club Nacional are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game
Tighter defenseClub Nacional
Club Nacional are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Club Nacional at 45% — final result was Racing Montevideo win, Racing Montevideo 2-0 Club Nacional.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Match trends

Racing Montevideo have averaged 0.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Club Nacional have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 7 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.