Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar
EFBET Stadion, Surdulica · Capacity 3,500 · grass · Referee: D. Jeknic
Match events
- 44'L. Jovanovic (A. Pejović)
- 46'D. Johnson Agwom (Jonny)
- 57'Ayouba Kosiah (D. Jovanovic)
- 59'P. Gadio (M. Petrovic)
- 63'I. Davidovic
- 64'D. Stojanovic (L. Zoric)
- 64'D. Dobrovolski (T. Kljun)
- 70'Dominic Sadi (N. Stankovic)
- 71'I. Davidovic (N. Skrobonja)
- 78'K. Dixon (B. Adzic)
- 83'D. Stojanovic
- 84'D. Jovanovic
- 84'N. Stankovic
- 87'S. Randjelovic
- 90+2'A. Pejović
- 90+5'N. Skrobonja
- 90+7'L. Jovanovic (A. Milicevic)
- 1.0
- Goals/game
- 1.2
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 2.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match with both teams showing mixed recent form. While Radnik Surdulica has performed better at home, their average of 1.69 xG indicates they may struggle against a resilient Novi Pazar side. Historically, their recent meetings favor Radnik, but the statistical averages suggest a high likelihood of a draw.
- Radnik Surdulica has a home record of 1W 1D this season.
- Novi Pazar is without a win in their last 2 away matches.
- Radnik Surdulica won the last 2 head-to-head encounters against Novi Pazar.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Radnik Surdulica
- Strong home recordRadnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.
2/3 home wins - Weak away recordNovi Pazar
Novi Pazar have won 0 of their last 3 away matches.
0/3 away wins - Tighter defenseRadnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica are conceding just 1.6 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game conceded - Historical edgeRadnik Surdulica
Radnik Surdulica have won 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
4/8 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Radnik Surdulica at 50% — final result was Radnik Surdulica win, Radnik Surdulica 1-0 Novi Pazar.
Predicted score was 1-1.
This was a high confidence pick (85/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Radnik Surdulica have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Novi Pazar have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Radnik Surdulica
Novi PazarRadnik SurdulicaNovi PazarNovi PazarRadnik SurdulicaRadnik SurdulicaNovi PazarNovi PazarRadnik SurdulicaRadnik SurdulicaNovi PazarNovi PazarRadnik SurdulicaRadnik SurdulicaNovi PazarOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Radnik Surdulica | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 8 | WLDD |
| 9 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | WLLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
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Who is likely to win Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar?+
Our AI model favors Radnik Surdulica to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 27%, Novi Pazar 23%).
Where is Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar played?+
The match is played at EFBET Stadion, Surdulica (capacity 3,500).
What time does Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 5:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).