Ramiz Brahimaj vs Neil Magny

UFC· UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry· Welterweight
WLWL
13-6-0 (W-L-D)1 KO, 12 SUB
Ht 178cmWt 77kgReach 183cmStance Orthodox
Valle Flow Striking
WLLW
The Haitian Sensation30-14-0 (W-L-D)9 KO, 4 SUB
Ht 191cmWt 77kgReach 203cmStance Orthodox
Pound 4 Pound Muay Thai

Value found

+20.9% edge

Neil Magny win

1.82AI fair odds
2.20Bookmaker odds
+20.9%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Fight time
In Progress
Result

AI fight analysis

Ramiz Brahimaj win
45%
Neil Magny win
55%

The statistics suggest a competitive matchup between Ramiz Brahimaj and Neil Magny, but the numbers favor Magny slightly due to his experience and physical advantages. Brahimaj's proficiency in submissions could provide a path to victory, but his recent performance has been inconsistent compared to Magny's longevity in the octagon. Overall, based on their career records and recent fights, it's estimated that Magny has a 55% chance of victory.

  • Ramiz Brahimaj has secured 12 of his 13 wins by submission, showcasing strong grappling skills.
  • Neil Magny has a significant height and reach advantage at 191cm and 203cm, respectively, which can be pivotal in striking exchanges.
  • Brahimaj's recent win against Mickey Gall suggests he has rebounded positively in his last outing, while Magny's recent form presents mixed results with more losses than wins.
  • Magny's experience is evident with 30 career fights, which may contribute to his ability to manage various fight situations.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
64/100

Confidence is moderate because the two fighters are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market sees this differently, which tempers confidence, and both fighters' career records and recent fight history are available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Neil Magny

  • More experiencedNeil Magny

    Neil Magny has fought 44 professional fights, 25 more than their opponent tonight.

    44 pro fights
  • Reach advantageNeil Magny

    Neil Magny has a 20cm reach advantage over their opponent, a real edge in striking exchanges at range.

    203cm reach
  • High finishing rateRamiz Brahimaj

    Ramiz Brahimaj has finished 13 of 13 career wins by knockout or submission, a 100% finish rate.

    100% finish rate

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 55% probability, so this is a closely-matched fight and confidence remains moderate.

Odds comparison

Moneyline

Ramiz Brahimaj1.67best 1.71AI 45%
Neil Magny2.20best 2.25AI 55%

Average price across 7 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Moneyline — odds movement

Ramiz Brahimaj1.67 0.13
Neil Magny2.20 0.19
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

Ramiz Brahimaj win-11.9pp
AI
45%
Market
56.9%
Neil Magny win+11.9pp
AI
55%
Market
43.1%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Ramiz Brahimaj vs Neil Magny?+

Our AI model favors Neil Magny to win, with a 55% probability (Ramiz Brahimaj 45%).

What time does Ramiz Brahimaj vs Neil Magny start?+

This fight took place on Aug 15, 2026, 10:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).

What are the career records of Ramiz Brahimaj and Neil Magny?+

Ramiz Brahimaj is 13-6-0 (W-L-D). Neil Magny is 30-14-0 (W-L-D).