Rangers vs Jagiellonia

UEFA Europa League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Rangers
11Full-time
Jagiellonia
LWWLGoals 23-19
LLWWGoals 16-15

Value found

+2.2% edge

Jagiellonia win

6.25AI fair odds
6.39Bookmaker odds
+2.2%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 19'L. Shankland
  2. 46'T. Aasgaard (Ross McCrorie)
  3. 46'T. Romanczuk
  4. 64'Bernardo Vital
  5. 65'Nik Prelec (A. Klynge)
  6. 66'Nicolas Raskin (V. Dragojevic)
  7. 66'D. Neil (C. Devlin)
  8. 70'A. Klynge
  9. 73'V. Dragojevic
  10. 75'R. Naderi (B. Miovski)
  11. 75'D. Gassama (Findlay Curtis)
  12. 79'A. Klynge (Eryk Kozłowski)
  13. 83'Rodrigo Conceição (J. Agbonifo)
  14. 83'Nik Prelec (Y. Sylla)
  15. 90+4'Jesús Imaz (Apostolos Konstantopoulos)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
RangersJagiellonia
2.3
Goals/game
1.6
1.9
Conceded/game
1.5

AI match analysis

Rangers win
62%
Draw
22%
Jagiellonia win
16%
70.3%BTTS
70.6%Over 2.5
17.4%Rangers clean sheet
15%Jagiellonia clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests that Rangers, despite their recent poor form with multiple losses, possess a higher scoring average compared to Jagiellonia, who has struggled offensively in their last matches. Historical performance indicates Rangers could capitalize on home advantage, leading to predictions in favor of a narrow home victory.

  • Rangers have scored an average of 2.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches
  • Jagiellonia has only averaged 0.9 goals scored in their last 10 matches
  • Rangers have a strong home scoring record despite recent losses
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Rangers

  • Sharper attackRangers

    Rangers are averaging 2.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    2.3/game
  • Good recent formRangers

    Rangers have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Good recent formJagiellonia

    Jagiellonia have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 0D 2L
  • Tighter defenseJagiellonia

    Jagiellonia are conceding just 1.5 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Rangers at 62% — final result was a draw, Rangers 1-1 Jagiellonia.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Rangers1.42market 70.2% · model 62%
Draw4.54market 22% · model 22%
Jagiellonia6.39market 15.6% · model 16%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Rangers have averaged 2.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Jagiellonia have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Rangers1.42best 1.62
Draw4.54best 4.92
Jagiellonia6.39best 7.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.57best 1.74
Under 2.52.29best 2.51

Both teams to score

Yes1.73best 1.80
No1.98best 2.10

Double chance

Rangers/Draw1.10best 1.17
Rangers/Jagiellonia1.17best 1.23
Draw/Jagiellonia2.68best 2.92

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.62best 1.62
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.20best 2.20
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.08best 1.08
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Rangers1.42 0.08
Draw4.54 0.46
Jagiellonia6.39 0.82
10 Aug13 Aug

Model vs market

Rangers win-3.1pp
AI
62%
Market
65.1%
Draw+1.6pp
AI
22%
Market
20.4%
Jagiellonia win+1.5pp
AI
16%
Market
14.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

2.3Goals scored per game1.6
1.9Goals conceded per game1.5

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

V. Fotias

5Yellow cards / game
0.14Red cards / game
0.57Penalties scored / game

Based on 7 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Rangers

0-15'
8.3%
16-30'
8.3%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
8.3%
76-90+'
50%

Jagiellonia

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
16.7%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Rangers vs Jagiellonia?+

Our AI model favors Rangers to win, with a 62% probability (Draw 22%, Jagiellonia 16%).

What time does Rangers vs Jagiellonia kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).