Rangers vs ST Mirren
Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow · Capacity 51,082 · grass · Referee: J. Beaton
Value found
+13.2% edgeST Mirren win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 9'R. Naderi (D. Gassama)
- 12'Marcus Fraser
- 18'V. Dragojevic (D. Yokota)
- 20'Emmanuel Fernandez
- 30'C. Mochrie
- 46'D. Yokota (Findlay Curtis)
- 52'D. Gassama (J. Penrice)
- 54'J. Penrice
- 59'S. Ramos (F. Taylor)
- 59'I. Kabia (Jake Young)
- 63'R. Naderi (L. Shankland)
- 63'V. Dragojevic (D. Neil)
- 63'D. Gassama (Ross McCausland)
- 67'Killian Phillips (Killian Phillips)
- 71'Ross McCausland
- 74'Ross McCausland
- 76'E. Sule (L. Thomas)
- 83'Dujon Sterling (Ross McCrorie)
- 84'Killian Phillips (H. Fieldson)
- 84'C. Mochrie (L. Douglas)
Lineups
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.9
- Conceded/game
- 0.9
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Historically, Rangers have had the upper hand against ST Mirren, winning 4 of their last 5 encounters. Rangers' attack has been potent, averaging 2.6 goals per game despite their fluctuating form, while ST Mirren has struggled offensively, averaging only 0.8 goals in recent outings. This context suggests a favorable outcome for Rangers as they play at home, looking to build on their previous successes against this opponent.
- Rangers have won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head matchups against ST Mirren
- Rangers scored an average of 2.6 goals in their last 10 matches
- ST Mirren averages 0.8 goals scored in their last 10 matches
- Rangers are playing at home where they aim to recover from recent poor performances
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rangers
- Sharper attackRangers
Rangers are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Historical edgeRangers
Rangers have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
7/8 H2H wins - Strong recent formST Mirren
ST Mirren are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 3 wins.
3W 2D 0L - Tighter defenseST Mirren
ST Mirren are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rangers at 68% — final result was Rangers win, Rangers 5-1 ST Mirren.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (86/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rangers have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- ST Mirren have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
ST Mirren
RangersRangersST MirrenST MirrenRangersST MirrenRangersST MirrenRangersRangersST MirrenST MirrenRangersST MirrenRangersOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
J. Beaton
Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Rangers
ST Mirren
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rangers vs ST Mirren?+
Our AI model favors Rangers to win, with a 68% probability (Draw 18%, ST Mirren 14%).
Where is Rangers vs ST Mirren played?+
The match is played at Ibrox Stadium, Glasgow (capacity 51,082).
What time does Rangers vs ST Mirren kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 3:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).