Rapid Vienna vs Paide

UEFA Europa Conference League· 3rd Qualifying Round
Rapid Vienna
20Full-time
Paide
WWDLGoals 19-13
DDWLGoals 22-12

Value found

+12.5% edge

Paide win

15.95AI fair odds
17.94Bookmaker odds
+12.5%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 37'Jakob Schöller
  2. 38'M. Tilio (N. Wurmbrand)
  3. 41'M. Tilio
  4. 46'M. Miller (R. Smirnov)
  5. 62'M. Tilio (T. Adamsen)
  6. 62'R. Amane (N. Bajlicz)
  7. 62'M. Haidara (P. Dahl)
  8. 68'H. Ojamaa (E. Tur)
  9. 68'M. P. Sohna (H. Ojamaa)
  10. 74'Jakob Schöller (S. Raux-Yao)
  11. 75'L. Schaub
  12. 81'L. Schaub
  13. 81'Henri Anier
  14. 84'D. Luts (P. A. Cham)
  15. 84'Henri Anier (K. Piht)
  16. 84'L. Schaub (M. Seidl)

Lineups

Rapid ViennaPaide
1.9
Goals/game
2.2
1.3
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

Rapid Vienna win
82.8%
Draw
10.93%
Paide win
6.27%
65.1%BTTS
64.1%Over 2.5
17.4%Rapid Vienna clean sheet
21.2%Paide clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

Data suggests Rapid Vienna is in a stronger position heading into this match, having won 2 of their last 5 fixtures. In contrast, Paide has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches. The numbers indicate a likely home victory, with Rapid's stronger scoring record potentially leading to a 2-1 finish.

  • Rapid Vienna has won 2 of their last 5 matches.
  • Paide has conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
  • Rapid Vienna's scoring average is higher than Paide's over their last 10 matches.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
80/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Rapid Vienna

  • Good recent formRapid Vienna

    Rapid Vienna have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Sharper attackRapid Vienna

    Rapid Vienna are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.9/game
  • Tighter defenseRapid Vienna

    Rapid Vienna are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Rapid Vienna at 82.8% — final result was Rapid Vienna win, Rapid Vienna 2-0 Paide.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (80/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Rapid Vienna1.10market 90.7% · model 82.8%
Draw8.66market 11.6% · model 10.93%
Paide17.94market 5.6% · model 6.27%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Rapid Vienna have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Paide have averaged 2.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Rapid Vienna1.10best 1.14
Draw8.66best 10.10
Paide17.94best 25.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.34best 1.38
Under 2.53.00best 3.30

Both teams to score

Yes2.23best 2.45
No1.58best 1.65

Double chance

Rapid Vienna/Draw1.02best 1.03
Rapid Vienna/Paide1.05best 1.08
Draw/Paide6.21best 6.95

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No2.25best 2.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes10.00best 10.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.03best 1.03
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.57best 1.57

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Rapid Vienna1.10 0.01
Draw8.66 0.66
Paide17.94 5.06
9 Aug12 Aug

Model vs market

Rapid Vienna win-1.3pp
AI
82.8%
Market
84.1%
Draw+0.2pp
AI
10.93%
Market
10.7%
Paide win+1.1pp
AI
6.27%
Market
5.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.9Goals scored per game2.2
1.3Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

D. Shurman

4Yellow cards / game
0.2Red cards / game
0.4Penalties scored / game

Based on 5 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Rapid Vienna

0-15'
19.2%
16-30'
3.8%
31-45'
19.2%
46-60'
3.8%
61-75'
11.5%
76-90+'
42.3%

Paide

0-15'
0%
16-30'
40%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
40%
61-75'
20%
76-90+'
0%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Rapid Vienna vs Paide?+

Our AI model favors Rapid Vienna to win, with a 82.8% probability (Draw 10.93%, Paide 6.27%).

What time does Rapid Vienna vs Paide kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 12, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).