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Real Oruro vs Bolívar

Primera División· Apertura - 16
Real Oruro
2–4Full-time
Bolívar
LLLDGoals 27-2411th in league
DWLWGoals 32-141st in league
Home2W 1D 5L(15-23)
Away4W 2D 2L(15-10)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 17'C. A. Melgar
  2. 23'D. Romero (José Sagredo)
  3. 38'A. Quinonez
  4. 46'S. Garcia (J. Velez)
  5. 46'Dairon Asprilla (Martin Cauteruccio)
  6. 46'A. F. Bravo Adan (D. Castellon)
  7. 54'E. Rivera
  8. 57'Robson Matheus (E. Saavedra)
  9. 63'J. Velasquez (Leonel Justiniano)
  10. 67'Leonel Justiniano
  11. 68'Y. Vallejos
  12. 69'C. A. Melgar (E. Vaca Moreno)
  13. 69'J. Velasquez (Patito Rodríguez)
  14. 69'F. Gatti (D. Pinto)
  15. 70'Martin Cauteruccio (F. Mena)
  16. 71'L. Corulo
  17. 77'Y. Villegas (H. Tifner)
  18. 80'Y. Vallejos
  19. 83'E. Saavedra (Patito Rodríguez)
  20. 88'Leonel Justiniano (B. Arce)
  21. 89'A. Rivera
  22. 90+4'R. J. Balceras Cuellar
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Real OruroBolívar
2.7
Goals/game
3.2
2.4
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Real Oruro win
16.06%
Draw
18.42%
Bolívar win
65.52%
81.8%BTTS
86.2%Over 2.5
6.1%Real Oruro clean sheet
12.9%Bolívar clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-4

The data suggests that Bolívar, positioned second in the league standings with strong recent form, will likely overpower Real Oruro, who have struggled with form and sit in the lower half of the table. Real Oruro's home record of only 2 wins in 7 matches further supports the view that they may struggle to compete against Bolívar's offense, which averages nearly 3 goals per match.

  • Bolívar ranked 2nd, significantly outperforming Real Oruro, ranked 12th
  • Real Oruro has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Bolívar has a strong away record with 3 wins and 2 draws from 7 games this season
  • Historical head-to-head results show a split, but Bolívar's recent form suggests they could dominate this encounter.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Bolívar

  • Poor recent formReal Oruro

    Real Oruro have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.

    0W 1D 4L
  • Good recent formBolívar

    Bolívar have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Tighter defenseBolívar

    Bolívar are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded
  • Higher league positionBolívar

    Bolívar sit 10 places above Real Oruro in the table.

    #1 vs #11

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pick✓ Exact score

We picked Bolívar at 65.52% — final result was Bolívar win, Real Oruro 2-4 Bolívar.

Predicted score was 2-4.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Bolívar ✓1.39market 72.1% · model 65.52%
Draw4.89market 20.4% · model 18.42%
Real Oruro5.82market 17.2% · model 16.06%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Real Oruro have averaged 2.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Bolívar have averaged 3.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Real Oruro wins
0Draws
1Bolívar wins
4-4Goals
Real Oruro
3–1Aug 2, 2025, 9:30 PM
Bolívar
Bolívar
3–1Mar 29, 2025, 12:00 AM
Real Oruro

Odds comparison

Match winner

Real Oruro5.82▼best 6.50
Draw4.89▼best 5.20
Bolívar1.39▲best 1.44

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.30best 1.36
Under 2.53.14▼best 3.60

Both teams to score

Yes1.46▲best 1.50
No2.49best 2.60

Double chance

Real Oruro/Draw2.73▼best 3.00
Real Oruro/Bolívar1.13▲best 1.18
Draw/Bolívar1.10▲best 1.14

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes11.00▼best 11.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.05▲best 1.05
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75▼best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40▲best 1.40

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Real Oruro5.82▲ 0.50
Draw4.89▼ 0.01
Bolívar1.39▼ 0.02
21 Aug – 23 Aug

Model vs market

Real Oruro win+0.4pp
AI
16.06%
Market
15.7%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
18.42%
Market
18.6%
Bolívar win-0.2pp
AI
65.52%
Market
65.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
11
Real Oruro
17539-1318LLWL
1
Bolívar
171133+2536WWWW

Pre-match comparison

2.7Goals scored per game3.2
2.4Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Lopez

0Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Real Oruro

0-15'
0%
16-30'
40%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
40%
76-90+'
0%

Bolívar

0-15'
12.5%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
12.5%
46-60'
37.5%
61-75'
18.8%
76-90+'
18.8%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Real Oruro vs Bolívar?+

Our AI model favors Bolívar to win, with a 65.52% probability (Draw 18.42%, Real Oruro 16.06%).

What time does Real Oruro vs Bolívar kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 23, 2026, 7:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).