Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo

Primera División· Apertura - 17
WDWDGoals 8-215th in league
WLWDGoals 19-1714th in league
Home4W 3D 2L(15-5)
Away2W 0D 7L(6-24)

Value found

+8.6% edge

Real Tomayapo win

8.33AI fair odds
9.05Bookmaker odds
+8.6%Value

Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 1'L. Ali
  2. 13'C. Vedia
  3. 13'M. Gomez
  4. 25'W. Fernandez
  5. 28'W. Fernandez
  6. 28'E. Velasquez
  7. 32'G. Anasgo
  8. 32'J. Rioja
  9. 35'E. Velasquez
  10. 36'C. Martinez
  11. 38'E. Velasquez
  12. 41'M. Gomez (J. Thomas)
  13. 46'L. Ali (J. Rivas)
  14. 47'D. Ramallo
  15. 54'D. Ramallo (J. Ribera)
  16. 54'L. S. Montenegro (C. Arabe)
  17. 65'R. Cuellar Orti (J. N. Orozco Quiroga)
  18. 65'V. Galvez (J. Senzano)
  19. 70'J. Rojas (S. Plaza)
  20. 76'Ruan Costa (M. G. Barbery Gil)
  21. 80'M. Bejarano
  22. 83'M. Bejarano (J. Senzano)
  23. 84'F. Supayabe
  24. 86'I. Cardenas (B. Condori)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
Real PotosíReal Tomayapo
0.8
Goals/game
1.9
2.1
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Real Potosí win
71%
Draw
17%
Real Tomayapo win
12%
61.7%BTTS
63%Over 2.5
13.5%Real Potosí clean sheet
28.7%Real Tomayapo clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The analysis suggests that Real Potosí is in stronger form compared to Real Tomayapo, especially given their solid recent home performances. The numbers show Real Potosí has only one home loss this season, while Real Tomayapo has struggled significantly on the road, managing just one victory in their away fixtures. Given the head-to-head record and current standings, the home side seems favorably positioned to secure a win.

  • Real Potosí unbeaten in their last 5 matches (DDWWD)
  • Real Tomayapo has struggled away with only 1 win in 8 games this season
  • Real Potosí has a solid home record of 4W 3D 1L
  • Historically, Real Potosí secured a recent head-to-head victory over Real Tomayapo 1-0.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Real Potosí

  • Higher league positionReal Potosí

    Real Potosí sit 9 places above Real Tomayapo in the table.

    #5 vs #14
  • Historical edgeReal Potosí

    Real Potosí have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.

    1/2 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordReal Potosí

    Real Potosí have won 4 of their last 9 home matches.

    4/9 home wins
  • Weak away recordReal Tomayapo

    Real Tomayapo have won 2 of their last 9 away matches.

    2/9 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Real Potosí at 71% — final result was Real Tomayapo win, Real Potosí 0-1 Real Tomayapo.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

Real Potosí1.26market 79.6% · model 71%
Draw5.15market 19.4% · model 17%
Real Tomayapo9.05market 11.1% · model 12%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Real Potosí have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Real Tomayapo have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Real Potosí wins
1Draws
0Real Tomayapo wins
1-0Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Real Potosí1.26best 1.36
Draw5.15best 5.75
Real Tomayapo9.05best 11.50

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.52best 1.57
Under 2.52.31best 2.52

Both teams to score

Yes1.96best 2.10
No1.74best 2.02

Double chance

Real Potosí/Draw1.04best 1.08
Real Potosí/Real Tomayapo1.11best 1.18
Draw/Real Tomayapo3.35best 3.70

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.06best 1.06
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes10.00best 10.00

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Real Potosí1.26 0.08
Draw5.15 0.39
Real Tomayapo9.05 2.25
24 Aug26 Aug

Model vs market

Real Potosí win-1.3pp
AI
71%
Market
72.3%
Draw-0.6pp
AI
17%
Market
17.6%
Real Tomayapo win+2pp
AI
12%
Market
10%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
Real Potosí
17674+1025DDWW
14
Real Tomayapo
17449-1916DWLL

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game1.9
2.1Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Real Potosí

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
16.7%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
33.3%

Real Tomayapo

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
100%
76-90+'
0%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo?+

Our AI model favors Real Potosí to win, with a 71% probability (Draw 17%, Real Tomayapo 12%).

What time does Real Potosí vs Real Tomayapo kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 26, 2026, 10:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).