Real Sociedad II vs Castellón

Segunda División· Regular Season - 1
LDLWGoals 10-1413th in league
DLLDGoals 13-147th in league
Home0W 0D 1L(0-1)
Away1W 0D 0L(1-0)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 7'Ousmane Camara
  2. 57'Jon Garro
  3. 58'Barri
  4. 60'A. Jakobsen
  5. 66'A. Jakobsen (A. Gala)
  6. 66'P. Santiago (Iñigo Cordoba)
  7. 66'D. Diaz (Arkaitz Mariezkurrena)
  8. 73'Ibai Aguirre (J. Eceizabarrena)
  9. 73'I. Calderon (J. Balda)
  10. 78'Barri (Marc-Olivier Doué)
  11. 78'Raúl Sánchez (H. Bellari)
  12. 83'Gorka Carrera Zarranz (E. Orobengoa)
  13. 83'G. Gorosabel (J. Soroeta)
  14. 83'Iñigo Cordoba
  15. 86'Unax Agote
  16. 87'Álvaro Martín (J. Vlak)
  17. 90+2'J. Vlak

Lineups

Real Sociedad IICastellón
1.0
Goals/game
1.3
1.4
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Real Sociedad II win
24.57%
Draw
23.49%
Castellón win
51.94%
51.8%BTTS
46.9%Over 2.5
25.9%Real Sociedad II clean sheet
30.1%Castellón clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Statistical analysis suggests Castellón has an advantage heading into this match, given their higher league standing and better scoring average of 1.6 goals per game. Additionally, Real Sociedad II's struggles in front of goal, averaging just 0.8 scored per game over their last 10 matches, could further impact their ability to secure points in this encounter.

  • Castellón ranked 4th in the league, indicating stronger overall performance.
  • Real Sociedad II has averaged 0.8 goals per game in last 10 matches, showing difficulty in scoring.
  • Historically, Castellón has performed well against Real Sociedad II, winning 5-4 in their last encounter.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
89/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Castellón

  • Higher league positionCastellón

    Castellón sit 6 places above Real Sociedad II in the table.

    #7 vs #13
  • Sharper attackCastellón

    Castellón are averaging 1.3 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game
  • Tighter defenseReal Sociedad II

    Real Sociedad II are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Castellón at 51.94% — final result was Castellón win, Real Sociedad II 0-1 Castellón.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (89/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Castellón1.80market 55.6% · model 51.94%
Draw3.76market 26.6% · model 23.49%
Real Sociedad II3.95market 25.3% · model 24.57%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Real Sociedad II have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Castellón have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Real Sociedad II wins
0Draws
1Castellón wins
8-7Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Real Sociedad II3.95best 4.36
Draw3.76best 4.05
Castellón1.80best 1.95

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.66best 1.75
Under 2.52.18best 2.31

Both teams to score

Yes1.60best 1.66
No2.21best 2.26

Double chance

Real Sociedad II/Draw1.95best 2.06
Real Sociedad II/Castellón1.24best 1.28
Draw/Castellón1.23best 1.28

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.14best 1.14
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes5.50best 5.50

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Real Sociedad II3.95 0.42
Draw3.76 0.17
Castellón1.80 0.10
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Real Sociedad II win+1.1pp
AI
24.57%
Market
23.5%
Draw-1.3pp
AI
23.49%
Market
24.8%
Castellón win+0.2pp
AI
51.94%
Market
51.7%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
13
Real Sociedad II
210103WL
7
Castellón
2110+14DW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.3
1.4Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Real Sociedad II

0-15'
50%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

More Segunda División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Real Sociedad II vs Castellón?+

Our AI model favors Castellón to win, with a 51.94% probability (Draw 23.49%, Real Sociedad II 24.57%).

What time does Real Sociedad II vs Castellón kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).