Recoleta vs O'Higgins

Copa Chile· Group Stage - 6
Recoleta
13Full-time
O'Higgins
DWDWGoals 9-15
WLDLGoals 17-14
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 26'N. Garrido
  2. 40'T. Vecino
  3. 42'C. Cepeda
  4. 46'D. Viveros (F. Tomarelli)
  5. 46'C. Cepeda (J. Espinoza)
  6. 57'F. Baez
  7. 57'S. Toloza
  8. 59'S. Toloza (J. Tapia)
  9. 59'C. Morales (B. Rojas)
  10. 59'T. Vecino (W. Bou)
  11. 67'Felipe Ogaz (E. Moreira)
  12. 71'Felipe Flores (C. Gonzalez)
  13. 71'R. Riveros (P. Sanchez)
  14. 73'Tomás Avilés
  15. 79'N. Arismendy (T. Valenzuela)
  16. 80'W. Bou
  17. 82'M. Maturana (J. Munoz)
Lineups unavailable for this match.
RecoletaO'Higgins
0.9
Goals/game
1.7
1.5
Conceded/game
1.4

AI match analysis

Recoleta win
25%
Draw
25%
O'Higgins win
50%
54.5%BTTS
51.9%Over 2.5
20.2%Recoleta clean sheet
31.7%O'Higgins clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The numbers favor O'Higgins, as they have been more prolific in front of goal recently compared to Recoleta, who has struggled to score. Additionally, Recoleta's defensive vulnerabilities could play a significant role in this match, given their higher goals conceded average.

  • O'Higgins averaged 1.7 goals scored in their last 10 matches compared to Recoleta's 0.9.
  • Recoleta's defense has struggled recently, conceding 1.5 goals per game in their last 10 matches.
  • O'Higgins has secured recent away victories, including a 4-2 win against Union Espanola.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
65/100

Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors O'Higgins

  • Sharper attackO'Higgins

    O'Higgins are averaging 1.7 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.7/game
  • Strong recent formRecoleta

    Recoleta are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.

    2W 3D 0L
  • Tighter defenseO'Higgins

    O'Higgins are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked O'Higgins at 50% — final result was O'Higgins win, Recoleta 1-3 O'Higgins.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (65/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.

Closing odds vs. our model

O'Higgins1.75market 57.1% · model 50%
Draw3.80market 26.3% · model 25%
Recoleta3.84market 26% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Recoleta have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • O'Higgins have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Recoleta3.84best 4.20
Draw3.80best 4.05
O'Higgins1.75best 1.82

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.57best 1.60
Under 2.52.26best 2.35

Both teams to score

Yes1.55best 1.60
No2.27best 2.32

Double chance

Recoleta/Draw1.94best 2.12
Recoleta/O'Higgins1.20best 1.25
Draw/O'Higgins1.21best 1.28

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.12best 1.12
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.00best 6.00

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Recoleta3.84 0.31
Draw3.80 0.05
O'Higgins1.75 0.06
24 Aug27 Aug

Model vs market

Recoleta win+1.2pp
AI
25%
Market
23.8%
Draw+1pp
AI
25%
Market
24%
O'Higgins win-2.2pp
AI
50%
Market
52.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game1.7
1.5Goals conceded per game1.4

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Recoleta

0-15'
16.7%
16-30'
16.7%
31-45'
16.7%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
16.7%

O'Higgins

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Recoleta vs O'Higgins?+

Our AI model favors O'Higgins to win, with a 50% probability (Draw 25%, Recoleta 25%).

What time does Recoleta vs O'Higgins kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).