Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Score
| Team | Goals | Behinds | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
 Richmond Tigers | 6 | 9 | 45 |
 St Kilda Saints | 14 | 10 | 94 |
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 54-73
Data suggests St Kilda Saints have a stronger form heading into this matchup, winning four of their last five games. In contrast, Richmond Tigers are struggling and have lost their last five matches, conceding an average of 96.8 points. Historically, St Kilda has the upper hand in their recent head-to-head meetings, which further favors them for this encounter.
- St Kilda Saints won 4 of their last 5 matches
- Richmond Tigers lost their last 5 matches
- St Kilda Saints scored an average of 78.6 points in their last 10 matches
- Richmond Tigers have conceded an average of 96.8 points in their last 10 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and some historical data (form, H2H or standings) is still incomplete.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors St Kilda Saints
- Poor recent formRichmond Tigers
Richmond Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Poor recent formSt Kilda Saints
St Kilda Saints have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.
2W 0D 3L - Tighter defenseSt Kilda Saints
St Kilda Saints are conceding just 81.9 points per game over their recent matches.
81.9/game conceded - Historical edgeSt Kilda Saints
St Kilda Saints have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams.
5/5 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
How did our prediction do?
We picked St Kilda Saints at 60% — final result was St Kilda Saints win, Richmond Tigers 45-94 St Kilda Saints.
Predicted score was 54-73.
This was a high confidence pick (75/100) — and it paid off.
Match trends
- Richmond Tigers have averaged 61.6 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- St Kilda Saints have averaged 85.3 points scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Richmond Tigers are unbeaten in 0 of the last 5 meetings with St Kilda Saints.
Head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
Ladder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fremantle Dockers | 23 | 19 | 0 | 4 | +620 | 76 | WLWW |
| 2 |  Sydney Swans | 23 | 18 | 0 | 5 | +674 | 72 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Brisbane Lions | 23 | 16 | 0 | 7 | +445 | 64 | WWLW |
| 4 |  Hawthorn Hawks | 23 | 15 | 2 | 6 | +379 | 64 | DLWW |
| 5 |  Geelong Cats | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +430 | 60 | WWWW |
| 6 |  Adelaide Crows | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +320 | 60 | LWWL |
| 7 |  Melbourne Demons | 23 | 15 | 0 | 8 | +202 | 60 | WWWL |
| 8 |  Western Bulldogs | 23 | 13 | 1 | 9 | -91 | 54 | DLLW |
| 9 |  Collingwood Magpies | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | +47 | 52 | DWLW |
| 10 |  Carlton Blues | 23 | 12 | 1 | 10 | +29 | 50 | DWWW |
| 11 | St Kilda Saints | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | +56 | 40 | WLLW |
| 12 |  Greater Western Sydney Giants | 23 | 10 | 0 | 13 | -22 | 40 | WLWL |
| 13 |  Gold Coast Suns | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -117 | 36 | LWLL |
| 14 |  North Melbourne Kangaroos | 23 | 9 | 0 | 14 | -243 | 36 | LWLL |
| 15 |  Port Adelaide Power | 23 | 7 | 0 | 16 | -245 | 28 | LLLL |
| 16 |  West Coast Eagles | 23 | 4 | 0 | 19 | -718 | 16 | LLLL |
| 17 | Richmond Tigers | 23 | 3 | 0 | 20 | -890 | 12 | LLWL |
| 18 |  Essendon Bombers | 23 | 2 | 0 | 21 | -876 | 8 | LLLL |
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Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints?+
Our AI model favors St Kilda Saints to win, with a 60% probability (Richmond Tigers 40%).
What time does Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints start?+
First bounce is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:35 AM (your local time, based on your device).
What was the final score in Richmond Tigers vs St Kilda Saints?+
Richmond Tigers: 6.9 (45). St Kilda Saints: 14.10 (94).