Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec
Match events
- 4'R. Sedlacek (M. Polidar)
- 21'S. Nebyla
- 38'Žiga Lipušček (Dmitrijs Zelenkovs)
- 50'Stefan Panić
- 56'M. Saidy
- 61'M. Polidar (J. Suchan)
- 61'F. Zorvan (A. Rusek)
- 69'R. Sedlacek
- 72'A. Balde (M. Sylla)
- 79'L. Jawo (N. Okeke)
- 79'Aleksandar Filipović
- 83'Aleksandar Filipović
- 84'M. Saidy (Darko Lemajić)
- 84'Lasha Odisharia (G. Mankenda)
- 86'V. Chanturishvili (D. Souček)
- 86'S. Nebyla (Filip Vecheta)
- 90'Filip Vecheta
Lineups
- 3.3
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
Data suggests a closely contested match, with both teams showing defensively frail form recently. Rīgas FS has struggled to find consistency, losing four of their last five matches, while FK Jablonec's defensive numbers indicate vulnerability, allowing two goals per game on average. Therefore, a draw at 1-1 appears a plausible outcome.
- Rīgas FS has lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
- FK Jablonec scored 1.4 goals but conceded 2 per game in their last 10 matches.
- Recent form suggests both teams struggle defensively.
Confidence is moderate because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rīgas FS
- Strong recent formRīgas FS
Rīgas FS are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 4 wins.
4W 1D 0L - Good recent formFK Jablonec
FK Jablonec have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Tighter defenseRīgas FS
Rīgas FS are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.3/game conceded - Sharper attackFK Jablonec
FK Jablonec are averaging 0.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- No head-to-head history
These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rīgas FS at 45% — final result was FK Jablonec win, Rīgas FS 1-2 FK Jablonec.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (60/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rīgas FS have averaged 3.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FK Jablonec have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
No previous meetings on record.
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
I. Frid
Based on 20 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Rīgas FS
FK Jablonec
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec?+
Our AI model favors Rīgas FS to win, with a 45% probability (Draw 26%, FK Jablonec 29%).
What time does Rīgas FS vs FK Jablonec kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 13, 2026, 4:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).