Rio Ave vs FC Porto
Match events
- 11'Nehuén Pérez (Gabriel Veiga)
- 34'Jakub Kiwior (Deniz Gül)
- 34'Goal Disallowed - offside — Jakub Kiwior
- 60'R. Galcik (D. Špikić)
- 66'William Gomes (Borja Sainz)
- 66'Deniz Gül (In-Beom Hwang)
- 70'Nehuén Pérez (Alberto Costa)
- 70'Gabriel Veiga (André Silva)
- 75'F. Petrasso (J. Lomboto)
- 75'Tamble (M. Vrousai)
- 82'Borja Sainz (In-Beom Hwang)
- 85'G. Liavas (Samuel)
- 85'D. Nascimento (M. Patricio)
- 89'Pepê (Stephen Eustaquio)
Lineups
- 1.2
- Goals/game
- 1.8
- 1.3
- Conceded/game
- 0.6
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-3
Analysis indicates that FC Porto holds a significant advantage in this matchup, having historically performed well against Rio Ave. The numbers suggest Rio Ave faces challenges with recent form, while FC Porto's attacking prowess is underscored by higher xG averages. Given these factors, a Porto victory appears likely.
- FC Porto has won 4 of the last 5 encounters against Rio Ave.
- Rio Ave has a recent form of 1 win in the last 5 matches, struggling with both scoring and conceding.
- FC Porto has a strong recent away performance with 3 wins in their last 5 matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors FC Porto
- Higher league positionFC Porto
FC Porto sit 9 places above Rio Ave in the table.
#1 vs #10 - Historical edgeFC Porto
FC Porto have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Good recent formFC Porto
FC Porto have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Sharper attackFC Porto
FC Porto are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.8/game
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked FC Porto at 70.93% — final result was FC Porto win, Rio Ave 0-2 FC Porto.
Predicted score was 1-3.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rio Ave have averaged 1.2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- FC Porto have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Rio Ave
FC PortoFC PortoRio AveFC PortoRio AveRio AveFC PortoFC PortoRio AveRio AveFC PortoRio AveFC PortoFC PortoRio AveOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Rio Ave
FC Porto
More Primeira Liga predictions
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Arouca
Maritimo
Alverca
Santa Clara
Academico ViseuFC PortoFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rio Ave vs FC Porto?+
Our AI model favors FC Porto to win, with a 70.93% probability (Draw 18.7%, Rio Ave 10.37%).
What time does Rio Ave vs FC Porto kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 7:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).