River Plate vs Argentinos JRS

Liga Profesional Argentina· Clausura - 5
LLDDGoals 6-102nd in league
WLWDGoals 15-101st in league
Home5W 0D 3L(14-8)
Away2W 1D 1L(5-5)
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Estadio Alberto José Armando, Ciudad de Buenos Aires · Capacity 49,000 · grass · Referee: F. Tello

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'Kevin Gutiérrez
  2. 34'S. Prieto
  3. 37'Gonzalo Montiel
  4. 40'Thiago Almada
  5. 51'Gonzalo Montiel (Giovanni González)
  6. 60'E. Viveros (Facundo Jainikoski)
  7. 60'Kevin Gutiérrez (G. Florentin)
  8. 62'L. Beltran (Rafael Santos Borré)
  9. 63'J. Freitas (Fausto Vera)
  10. 69'N. Oroz (Iván Morales)
  11. 82'Kevin Coronel (D. Porcel)
  12. 82'Kevin Coronel
  13. 83'Thiago Almada (Lautaro Rivero)
  14. 83'T. Andrada (Tomás Galván)
  15. 83'H. Lopez (M. Gimenez)
  16. 85'Francisco Álvarez (D. Porcel)
  17. 85'Kevin Coronel (D. Porcel)
  18. 89'Á. Correa

Lineups

River PlateArgentinos JRS
0.6
Goals/game
1.5
1.0
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

River Plate win
49%
Draw
30%
Argentinos JRS win
21%
39.3%BTTS
33.7%Over 2.5
28.7%River Plate clean sheet
44.9%Argentinos JRS clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

Data suggests a challenging match for River Plate, who are currently on a five-match losing streak, indicating potential difficulties in finding form. Conversely, Argentinos JRS are in solid shape with four consecutive wins and a strong scoring average, making them the likely threat in this matchup. The head-to-head records show a mixed history, yet recent trends favor the away side.

  • River Plate has lost their last 5 matches in all competitions
  • Argentinos JRS is currently on a 4-match winning streak
  • River Plate has scored only 0.6 goals per game in their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
82/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors River Plate

  • Good recent formArgentinos JRS

    Argentinos JRS have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Historical edgeRiver Plate

    River Plate have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Strong home recordRiver Plate

    River Plate have won 5 of their last 8 home matches.

    5/8 home wins
  • Strong away recordArgentinos JRS

    Argentinos JRS have won 2 of their last 4 away matches.

    2/4 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked River Plate at 49% — final result was River Plate win, River Plate 2-0 Argentinos JRS.

Predicted score was 1-1.

This was a high confidence pick (82/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

River Plate1.90market 52.5% · model 49%
Draw3.17market 31.6% · model 30%
Argentinos JRS4.36market 22.9% · model 21%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • River Plate have averaged 0.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Argentinos JRS have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 3 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5River Plate wins
1Draws
2Argentinos JRS wins
15-6Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

River Plate1.90best 1.98
Draw3.17best 3.30
Argentinos JRS4.36best 4.65

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.50best 2.63
Under 2.51.49best 1.54

Both teams to score

Yes2.17best 2.20
No1.62best 1.65

Double chance

River Plate/Draw1.20best 1.23
River Plate/Argentinos JRS1.32best 1.36
Draw/Argentinos JRS1.84best 1.90

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.25best 1.25
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.60best 3.75
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.02best 2.05
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.71best 1.73

Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

River Plate1.90 0.13
Draw3.17 0.18
Argentinos JRS4.36 0.36
13 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

River Plate win-0.1pp
AI
49%
Market
49.1%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
30%
Market
29.5%
Argentinos JRS win-0.4pp
AI
21%
Market
21.4%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
River Plate
16925+1029WLLL
1
Argentinos JRS
6411+413LWWW

Pre-match comparison

0.6Goals scored per game1.5
1Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

F. Tello

4.5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0.5Penalties scored / game

Based on 6 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

River Plate

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
66.7%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Argentinos JRS

0-15'
33.3%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
33.3%

More Liga Profesional Argentina predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win River Plate vs Argentinos JRS?+

Our AI model favors River Plate to win, with a 49% probability (Draw 30%, Argentinos JRS 21%).

Where is River Plate vs Argentinos JRS played?+

The match is played at Estadio Alberto José Armando, Ciudad de Buenos Aires (capacity 49,000).

What time does River Plate vs Argentinos JRS kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 9:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).