River Plate vs Santa Fe
Value found
+17.1% edgeSanta Fe win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 36'K. D. Toscano Bassa (J. Torres)
- 52'S. Driussi (Gonzalo Montiel)
- 58'Alexis Zapata (F. Fagundez)
- 58'Nahuel Bustos (M. Lovera)
- 58'Jader Obrian (L. Palacios)
- 62'S. Driussi (R. Borre)
- 62'T. Galvan (Fausto Vera)
- 72'Gonzalo Montiel
- 77'T. Andrada (F. Gonzalez)
- 77'Gonzalo Montiel (J. Meza)
- 79'F. Fagundez
- 83'Marcos Acuña
- 83'A. Moreno (J. Freitas)
- 84'Christian Mafla
- 87'H. Rodallega (J. Angulo)
- 120+1'T. Almada
- 120+1'M. Lovera
- 120+2'Á. Correa
- 120+2'D. Torres
- 120+3'Nicolás Otamendi
- 120+3'E. Olivera
- 120+4'J. Freitas
- 120+4'L. Palacios
- 120+5'R. Borre
- 120+5'F. Fagundez
- 120+6'Lucas Martínez Quarta
- 120+6'J. Torres
- 120+7'Fausto Vera
- 120+7'I. R. Scarpeta Silgado
- 120+8'F. Gonzalez
- 120+8'J. Angulo
- 120+9'Marcos Acuña
- 120+9'Helibelton Palacios
- 120+10'J. Meza
- 120+10'Christian Mafla
- 120+11'S. Beltran
Lineups
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 0.5
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-0
Data suggests River Plate has a strong home advantage, remaining unbeaten in their last five games at home. Santa Fe's struggling attack has not scored in three of their last five matches, which may hinder their chances. Historically, recent ties between these teams show a tendency for low-scoring outcomes, with two goalless draws in the last three encounters.
- River Plate unbeaten in last 5 home games
- Santa Fe failed to score in 3 of their last 5 matches
- Last 3 encounters have seen 2 goalless draws
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors River Plate
- Strong recent formSanta Fe
Santa Fe are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, including 2 wins.
2W 3D 0L - Historical edgeRiver Plate
River Plate have won 1 of the last 3 meetings between these two teams.
1/3 H2H wins - Sharper attackSanta Fe
Santa Fe are averaging 0.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game - Tighter defenseSanta Fe
Santa Fe are conceding just 0.5 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.5/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked River Plate at 72% — final result was a draw, River Plate 1-1 Santa Fe.
Predicted score was 1-0.
This was a high confidence pick (93/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- River Plate have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Santa Fe have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 3 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 1 of the last 3 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 12 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  River Plate | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 14 | DWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
E. Ostojich
Based on 19 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
River Plate
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win River Plate vs Santa Fe?+
Our AI model favors River Plate to win, with a 72% probability (Draw 19%, Santa Fe 9%).
What time does River Plate vs Santa Fe kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 27, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).