Rizespor vs Samsunspor
Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize · Capacity 15,558 · grass · Referee: O. Turtay
Match events
- 27'L. Tómasson
- 34'Josafat Mendes (S. Jarju)
- 63'Fatih Kaya (S. Jarju)
- 65'Yalçın Kayan (Samed Onur)
- 67'Ibrahim Olawoyin (Dal Varešanović)
- 67'Adedire Mebude (Emrecan Bulut)
- 80'T. Antalyalı (M. C. Tosun)
- 81'Z. Ariss (Tayyib Talha Sanuc)
- 83'Modibo Sagnan
- 85'S. Jarju (T. Bulbul)
- 88'Modibo Sagnan (M. Faye)
- 90+1'Fatih Kaya (A. Sekongo)
- 1.7
- Goals/game
- 2.0
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 2.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that Rizespor has a strong historical advantage over Samsunspor, winning 4 of the last 5 encounters. Rizespor is currently in better form, with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, while Samsunspor has been more inconsistent, conceding heavily in recent outings. The scoring averages indicate both teams can find the net, with a predicted score favoring Rizespor based on their recent performances.
- Rizespor won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Samsunspor
- Rizespor's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 5 matches
- Samsunspor has conceded an average of 2 goals in their last 10 matches
- Both teams average over 2 goals per game in their recent matches.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Rizespor
- Good recent formRizespor
Rizespor have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 1D 1L - Sharper attackSamsunspor
Samsunspor are averaging 2 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
2/game - Tighter defenseRizespor
Rizespor are conceding just 1.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.7/game conceded - Higher league positionSamsunspor
Samsunspor sit 10 places above Rizespor in the table.
#3 vs #13
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Rizespor at 43.47% — final result was Samsunspor win, Rizespor 0-2 Samsunspor.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (78/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rizespor have averaged 1.7 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Samsunspor have averaged 2 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Rizespor | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | LW |
| 3 |  Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
When do they score?
Rizespor
Samsunspor
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Gaziantep FKRizesporFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rizespor vs Samsunspor?+
Our AI model favors Rizespor to win, with a 43.47% probability (Draw 29.56%, Samsunspor 26.97%).
Where is Rizespor vs Samsunspor played?+
The match is played at Çaykur Didi Stadyumu, Rize (capacity 15,558).
What time does Rizespor vs Samsunspor kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 4:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).