Rosario Central vs Corinthians

CONMEBOL Libertadores· Round of 16
LWLDGoals 10-72nd in league
WLWLGoals 11-101st in league
Home2W 1D 0L(5-0)
Away1W 2D 0L(4-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 31'J. Campaz
  2. 31'Vicente Pizarro
  3. 44'Breno Bidon
  4. 45+2'E. Copetti
  5. 45+5'Matheuzinho
  6. 45+6'Allan
  7. 46'Vicente Pizarro (F. Navarro)
  8. 55'E. Coronel
  9. 79'Giovanni Cantizano (Tomás Badaloni)
  10. 79'E. Coronel (E. Veron)
  11. 80'Allan
  12. 83'R. Garro (André Carrillo)
  13. 88'E. Copetti (Marco Rubén)
  14. 88'A. Sandez (A. Rodriguez)
  15. 89'Kaio Cesar (J. Lingard)
  16. 90+6'Breno Bidon (André Ramalho)

Lineups

Rosario CentralCorinthians
1.0
Goals/game
1.1
0.7
Conceded/game
1.0

AI match analysis

Rosario Central win
40%
Draw
35%
Corinthians win
25%
37.5%BTTS
29.6%Over 2.5
40.7%Rosario Central clean sheet
36.8%Corinthians clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-1

The data suggests a closely contested match between Rosario Central and Corinthians. Rosario Central's strong home form, remaining unbeaten in their home games, contrasts with Corinthians' mixed results away from home, where they've yet to lose but have only secured a single win. Both teams' scoring averages provide indications of potential goal scoring, pointing towards a likely drawn outcome.

  • Rosario Central unbeaten at home this season with 2 wins and 1 draw.
  • Corinthians has struggled on the road, with 1 win and 2 draws in away matches this season.
  • Both teams average 1.3 goals scored per game, indicating potential for a balanced scoring scenario.
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
63/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Rosario Central

  • Strong home recordRosario Central

    Rosario Central have won 2 of their last 3 home matches.

    2/3 home wins
  • Weak away recordCorinthians

    Corinthians have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.

    1/3 away wins
  • Tighter defenseRosario Central

    Rosario Central are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.7/game conceded
  • Poor recent formRosario Central

    Rosario Central have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked Rosario Central at 40% — final result was a draw, Rosario Central 0-0 Corinthians.

Predicted score was 1-1.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (63/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

Rosario Central2.29market 43.6% · model 40%
Draw2.76market 36.2% · model 35%
Corinthians3.78market 26.5% · model 25%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Rosario Central have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Corinthians have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Rosario Central wins
0Draws
1Corinthians wins
0-1Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Rosario Central2.29best 2.37
Draw2.76best 2.95
Corinthians3.78best 4.08

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.53.22best 3.50
Under 2.51.32best 1.43

Both teams to score

Yes2.44best 2.62
No1.50best 1.58

Double chance

Rosario Central/Draw1.25best 1.31
Rosario Central/Corinthians1.42best 1.46
Draw/Corinthians1.59best 1.62

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.62best 2.62
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.78best 1.83
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes1.92best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.43best 1.44

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Rosario Central2.29 0.01
Draw2.76 0.29
Corinthians3.78 0.48
11 Aug14 Aug

Model vs market

Rosario Central win-1pp
AI
40%
Market
41%
Draw+0.9pp
AI
35%
Market
34.1%
Corinthians win+0.1pp
AI
25%
Market
24.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
2
Rosario Central
6411+813WWWW
1
Corinthians
6321+411DDWW

Pre-match comparison

1Goals scored per game1.1
0.7Goals conceded per game1

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. M. Matonte Cabrera

8Yellow cards / game
1Red cards / game
2Penalties scored / game

Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Rosario Central

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

Corinthians

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
40%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
60%

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Rosario Central vs Corinthians?+

Our AI model favors Rosario Central to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 35%, Corinthians 25%).

What time does Rosario Central vs Corinthians kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 12:30 AM (your local time, based on your device).