Rotherham vs Chesterfield
Match events
- 12'Fabio Tavares
- 17'brandon cover
- 18'Lee Bonis
- 41'T. Bradshaw
- 43'Jili Buyabu
- 58'Emmanuel Adegboyega (Joe Rafferty)
- 60'Lee Bonis (F. Bryden)
- 64'T. Bradshaw (Paul Mullin)
- 64'Jili Buyabu (Josh Austerfield)
- 70'Josh Koroma (Tom Naylor)
- 81'Fabio Tavares (ArJany Martha)
- 81'Lewis Gordon (A. Owolabi-Belewu)
- 81'Dilan Markanday
- 82'George McEachran (Rafiq Lamptey)
- 88'Liam Mandeville
- 90'Paul Mullin
- 0.9
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 2.0
- Conceded/game
- 0.7
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a closely contested match where Chesterfield has shown slightly better recent form and victory on their last away outing. Rotherham, however, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 2 goals in their recent matches, which may increase the likelihood of Chesterfield finding the net. Head-to-head results have also been tight, with both teams sharing points in previous encounters. Thus, a draw could be a plausible outcome, albeit with Chesterfield slightly favored.
- Chesterfield won their last away match 1-0 against Salford City
- Rotherham averages 0.9 goals scored and 2 conceded over their last 10 matches
- Both teams drew in their last head-to-head matches, indicating competitive balance
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Chesterfield
- Strong home recordRotherham
Rotherham have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins - Strong away recordChesterfield
Chesterfield have won 1 of their last 2 away matches.
1/2 away wins - Tighter defenseChesterfield
Chesterfield are conceding just 0.7 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.7/game conceded - Historical edgeRotherham
Rotherham have won 1 of the last 2 meetings between these two teams.
1/2 H2H wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 41% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Chesterfield at 40.99% — final result was Rotherham win, Rotherham 2-1 Chesterfield.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (74/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rotherham have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Chesterfield have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 |  Rotherham | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | WDL |
| 16 |  Chesterfield | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
S. Stockbridge
Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Rotherham
Chesterfield
More League Two predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rotherham vs Chesterfield?+
Our AI model favors Chesterfield to win, with a 40.99% probability (Draw 27.29%, Rotherham 31.73%).
What time does Rotherham vs Chesterfield kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).