Rubio NU vs Sportivo Trinidense
Estadio La Arboleda, Asunción · Capacity 8,000 · grass · Referee: B. Romero
Match events
- 45+1'V. Cabanas
- 45'A. Canete
- 46'C. Gonzalez
- 47'Goal Disallowed - video review — C. Gonzalez
- 50'C. Gonzalez
- 53'S. Mendoza
- 58'S. Mendoza (J. Roman)
- 63'Substitution 1 (T. Leiva)
- 67'E. Perez (R. Ruiz Díaz)
- 72'L. Abreu
- 75'R. Rojas
- 76'C. Benitez (A. B. Cano Esteche)
- 76'J. Roman (F. Baruja)
- 76'L. Abreu (J. Marcelino)
- 78'J. Vallejos
- 79'C. Gimenez (M. Garrone)
- 79'William Mendieta (A. Ledesma)
- 80'L. de La Cruz (L. Gonzalez)
- 1.3
- Goals/game
- 0.8
- 1.6
- Conceded/game
- 0.8
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Statistical analysis suggests an edge for Sportivo Trinidense, who are currently in better form and have secured 10 points from 5 matches, compared to Rubio NU's 4 points. While Rubio NU has a favorable head-to-head record, their struggles at home and a recent goal difference of -7 could pose challenges against a higher-ranked opponent.
- Sportivo Trinidense unbeaten in last 3 league matches
- Rubio NU struggling with 1 point from 2 home games this season
- Recent head-to-head history shows Rubio NU winning the last two encounters against Sportivo Trinidense
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Sportivo Trinidense
- Weak home recordRubio NU
Rubio NU have won 0 of their last 3 home matches.
0/3 home wins - Strong away recordSportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense have won 2 of their last 4 away matches.
2/4 away wins - Historical edgeRubio NU
Rubio NU have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionSportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Trinidense sit 8 places above Rubio NU in the table.
#3 vs #11
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 43% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Sportivo Trinidense at 43.12% — final result was a draw, Rubio NU 0-0 Sportivo Trinidense.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Rubio NU have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Sportivo Trinidense have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Rubio NU | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 5 | WLLD |
| 3 |  Sportivo Trinidense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 11 | DLWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
B. Romero
Based on 8 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Rubio NU
Sportivo Trinidense
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Sportivo LuquenoRubio NU
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Nacional AsuncionSportivo Trinidense
2 de Mayo
Deportivo Recoleta
OlimpiaFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Rubio NU vs Sportivo Trinidense?+
Our AI model favors Sportivo Trinidense to win, with a 43.12% probability (Draw 30.26%, Rubio NU 26.62%).
Where is Rubio NU vs Sportivo Trinidense played?+
The match is played at Estadio La Arboleda, Asunción (capacity 8,000).
What time does Rubio NU vs Sportivo Trinidense kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 21, 2026, 9:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).