Rudes vs NK Lokomotiva Zagreb — HNL

HNL· Regular Season - 4

Rudes

4–1Full-time

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

LLDDLLGoals 13-349th in league

WWDDWLGoals 11-86th in league

Home1W 0D 1L(5-7)

Away1W 0D 2L(4-7)

Today

Lineups~1h before

Kickoff

Half-time

Full-time

Match events

8'L. Belcar
23'L. Belcar
23'L. Belcar
28'N. Skoko (Vedran Celjak)
29'Goal Under Review - offside — N. Skoko
36'N. Djurkovic (M. Lorber)
40'D. Vuković (M. Subotic)
46'J. Blagaić (J. Bralic)
53'Xavi (J. Poldrugac)
58'J. Bralic (L. Ilecic)
65'I. Djoric (J. Poldrugac)
66'J. Poldrugac (V. Seitz)
66'J. Vasilj (M. Antunovic)
66'D. Thaqi (Kayke)
72'M. Vešović (P. Smiljanic)
74'L. Ilecic (L. Popovic)
81'N. Skoko (A. Spekuljuk)
81'Xavi (K. Lovrić)
82'V. Seitz
90+1'J. Bralic

Lineups unavailable for this match.

RudesNK Lokomotiva Zagreb

1.3
Goals/game: 1.1; 3.4
Conceded/game: 0.8

AI match analysis

Rudes win

15%

Draw

22%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win

63%

58.2%BTTS

64.1%Over 2.5

10.5%Rudes clean sheet

35%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The statistical analysis indicates a strong edge for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, who have secured 6 points from their last 3 matches and boast a solid away performance. In contrast, Rudes is struggling, having lost all three of their games this season and exhibiting a negative goal difference. Historical performances also favor the visitors, as NK Lokomotiva Zagreb has won multiple recent encounters against Rudes.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb in 4th place with 6 points from 3 matches
Rudes lost all 3 of their matches this season
Last 5 head-to-head meetings feature 2 draws and 3 wins for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

AI ConfidenceHigh confidence

100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

Tighter defenseNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.8/game conceded
Strong home recordRudes
Rudes have won 1 of their last 2 home matches.
1/2 home wins
Weak away recordNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 1 of their last 3 away matches.
1/3 away wins
Historical edgeNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked NK Lokomotiva Zagreb at 63% — final result was Rudes win, Rudes 4-1 NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.53market 65.5% · model 63%

Draw4.03market 24.8% · model 22%

Rudes ✓5.34market 18.7% · model 15%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

Rudes have averaged 1.3 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
Both teams scored in 2 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

0Rudes wins

3Draws

5NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins

4-14Goals

Rudes

3–3May 18, 2024, 3:00 PM

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

3–0Mar 9, 2024, 2:00 PM

Rudes

0–0Dec 3, 2023, 2:00 PM

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

1–0Sep 15, 2023, 4:00 PM

Rudes

1–2Apr 20, 2019, 12:30 PM

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

0–0Feb 15, 2019, 5:00 PM

Rudes

0–4Oct 26, 2018, 4:00 PM

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

1–0Aug 11, 2018, 7:00 PM

Rudes

Odds comparison

Match winner

Rudes5.34▼best 6.20

Draw4.03▼best 4.30

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.53▲best 1.62

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.70▲best 1.80

Under 2.52.08▼best 2.25

Both teams to score

Yes1.76▼best 1.91

No1.94▲best 2.05

Double chance

Rudes/Draw2.38▼best 2.62

Rudes/NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.19▲best 1.23

Draw/NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.12▲best 1.18

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Home — No1.11▲best 1.11

Clean Sheet - Home — Yes6.50▼best 6.50

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes2.10▼best 2.10

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.67▲best 1.67

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Rudes5.34▲ 0.33

Draw4.03▼ 0.01

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.53▼ 0.08

19 Aug – 21 Aug

Model vs market

Rudes win-2.2pp

15%

Market

17.2%

Draw-0.8pp

22%

Market

22.8%

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb win+3pp

63%

Market

60%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.