Ryazan vs FK Spartak Tambov

Cup· Regions Path - 3rd Round
Ryazan
11After Penalties
FK Spartak Tambov
DWWWGoals 15-14
LWDLGoals 10-17
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 42'A. Maloletov
  2. 48'E. Evgenjev
  3. 120+1'E. Evgenjev
  4. 120+1'D. Kuptsov
  5. 120+2'E. Glukhov
  6. 120+2'A. Khabibov
  7. 120+3'A. Shmarov
  8. 120+3'A. Prokurorov
  9. 120+4'M. Mishutin
  10. 120+4'A. M. Khabibulin
  11. 120+5'R. Shishkov
  12. 120+5'M. M. Sergeev
  13. 120+6'N. Pogrebnev
  14. 120+6'R. Petrov
Lineups unavailable for this match.
RyazanFK Spartak Tambov
1.5
Goals/game
1.0
1.4
Conceded/game
1.7

AI match analysis

Ryazan win
30%
Draw
30%
FK Spartak Tambov win
40%
55.8%BTTS
53.1%Over 2.5
30.1%Ryazan clean sheet
20.2%FK Spartak Tambov clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Analysis indicates a favorable matchup for FK Spartak Tambov, considering their stronger overall performance with recent results. While Ryazan has shown resilience with three wins in their last five matches, they have struggled defensively, averaging 1.4 goals conceded. Conversely, Spartak Tambov has a concerning streak with several losses, but their tendency to keep games within a goal margin might lead to a competitive clash.

  • Ryazan won 3 of their last 5 matches
  • FK Spartak Tambov has lost 4 of their last 5 matches
  • Ryazan averages 1.5 goals per game while Spartak Tambov averages 1 scored per game
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
55/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors FK Spartak Tambov

  • Good recent formRyazan

    Ryazan have won 3 of their last 5 matches.

    3W 1D 1L
  • Poor recent formFK Spartak Tambov

    FK Spartak Tambov have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Sharper attackRyazan

    Ryazan are averaging 1.5 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.5/game
  • Tighter defenseRyazan

    Ryazan are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.4/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 40% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked FK Spartak Tambov at 40% — final result was a draw, Ryazan 1-1 FK Spartak Tambov.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (55/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

FK Spartak Tambov2.27market 44.1% · model 40%
Draw3.00market 33.3% · model 30%
Ryazan3.03market 33.1% · model 30%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Ryazan have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • FK Spartak Tambov have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Ryazan3.03best 3.06
Draw3.00best 3.00
FK Spartak Tambov2.27best 2.28

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.95best 1.95
Under 2.51.76best 1.76

Both teams to score

Yes1.72best 1.72
No1.96best 1.98

Double chance

Ryazan/Draw1.50best 1.50
Ryazan/FK Spartak Tambov1.29best 1.29
Draw/FK Spartak Tambov1.29best 1.29

Average and best price across 2 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Model vs market

Ryazan win+0.1pp
AI
30%
Market
29.9%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
30%
Market
30.2%
FK Spartak Tambov win+0.1pp
AI
40%
Market
39.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1
1.4Goals conceded per game1.7

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Ryazan

0-15'
14.3%
16-30'
14.3%
31-45'
28.6%
46-60'
14.3%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
28.6%

FK Spartak Tambov

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
100%

More Cup predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Ryazan vs FK Spartak Tambov?+

Our AI model favors FK Spartak Tambov to win, with a 40% probability (Draw 30%, Ryazan 30%).

What time does Ryazan vs FK Spartak Tambov kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 2:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).