Såby vs Roskilde

DBU Pokalen· Round of 64
Såby
05Full-time
Roskilde
LWGoals 3-3
WLDDGoals 18-13
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 23'M. Freitag
  2. 51'M. Freitag
  3. 65'J. Morkedal
  4. 72'F. Engqvist
  5. 84'V. Montell
Lineups unavailable for this match.
SåbyRoskilde
1.5
Goals/game
1.8
1.5
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Såby win
10%
Draw
15%
Roskilde win
75%
60.9%BTTS
58.8%Over 2.5
19.2%Såby clean sheet
24.7%Roskilde clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

The data suggests a strong favor towards Roskilde, given their recent form of two wins and a draw in their last three away matches. In contrast, Såby has struggled with their defensive performance, yielding an average of 1.5 goals conceded in their last two games. With Roskilde averaging 1.8 goals scored in their last ten matches, a close contest is anticipated, but Roskilde's scoring capability may see them take the lead.

  • Roskilde unbeaten in last 3 away matches
  • Såby has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in last 2 matches
  • Roskilde's last 10 matches average 1.8 goals scored per game
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
79/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and this fixture has limited historical data available so far.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Roskilde

  • Sharper attackRoskilde

    Roskilde are averaging 1.8 goals scored per game over their recent matches.

    1.8/game
  • Tighter defenseRoskilde

    Roskilde are conceding just 1.3 goals per game over their recent matches.

    1.3/game conceded

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • Limited recent-match sample

    Såby has fewer than 5 recent matches on record, so recent-form signals here are based on a small sample.

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • No head-to-head history

    These two teams have no recorded meetings, so the prediction relies on form and standings alone.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Roskilde at 75% — final result was Roskilde win, Såby 0-5 Roskilde.

Predicted score was 1-2.

This was a high confidence pick (79/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Roskilde1.25market 80.2% · model 75%
Draw5.59market 17.9% · model 15%
Såby9.05market 11% · model 10%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Såby have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 2 matches.
  • Roskilde have averaged 1.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.

Head-to-head

No previous meetings on record.

Odds comparison

Match winner

Såby9.05best 10.00
Draw5.59best 5.80
Roskilde1.25best 1.30

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.50best 1.50
Under 2.52.28best 2.28

Both teams to score

Yes1.81best 1.81
No1.86best 1.86

Double chance

Såby/Draw3.15best 3.55
Såby/Roskilde1.10best 1.10
Draw/Roskilde1.04best 1.05

Average and best price across 4 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Såby9.05 0.37
Draw5.59 0.39
Roskilde1.25 0.03
24 Aug25 Aug

Model vs market

Såby win-0.1pp
AI
10%
Market
10.1%
Draw-1.4pp
AI
15%
Market
16.4%
Roskilde win+1.5pp
AI
75%
Market
73.5%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

Standings not available yet.

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.8
1.5Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 2 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

Såby

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
100%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
0%

Roskilde

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More DBU Pokalen predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Såby vs Roskilde?+

Our AI model favors Roskilde to win, with a 75% probability (Draw 15%, Såby 10%).

What time does Såby vs Roskilde kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 25, 2026, 3:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).