Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne · Capacity 41,965 · grass · Referee: M. Leleu
Value found
+7% edgeClermont Foot win
Statistical comparison of our AI's win probability against the average bookmaker price — not betting advice.
Match events
- 23'J. Ferreira (T. Svetlin)
- 41'I. Cardona (Thierno Ballo)
- 46'E. H. Kone (O. Diop)
- 49'J. Breum
- 54'Thierno Ballo
- 59'Thierno Ballo (Zuriko Davitashvili)
- 64'Adrien Hunou (J. Sambia)
- 64'M. Bouchenna (M. Douane)
- 68'I. M'Bahia
- 71'J. Breum (A. Csongvai)
- 72'I. Cardona (J. Duffus)
- 74'C. Okou (A. Saintorens)
- 74'I. M'Bahia (I. Coulibaly)
- 82'M. Bernauer (Nathan Kasia Nkondo)
- 83'A. Boakye (Adam Baallal)
- 83'V. N'Simba (Cheick Konate)
- 89'O. Diop (J. Sambia)
- 1.6
- Goals/game
- 0.9
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Data suggests that Saint Etienne has a strong advantage, currently sitting at the top of the table with a solid recent performance, highlighted by a decisive victory in their last match. Meanwhile, Clermont Foot's struggles in offense, averaging just 0.9 goals per game, may hinder their chances. The historical head-to-head stats also favor Saint Etienne, indicating they are well-positioned to capitalize against Clermont Foot.
- Saint Etienne currently ranks 1st in the league after one match with a goal difference of +3.
- Clermont Foot has only scored 0.9 goals per match on average in their last 10 games.
- Historically, Saint Etienne has won 3 of the last 4 encounters against Clermont Foot.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Saint Etienne
- Historical edgeSaint Etienne
Saint Etienne have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
4/4 H2H wins - Higher league positionSaint Etienne
Saint Etienne sit 15 places above Clermont Foot in the table.
#1 vs #16 - Sharper attackSaint Etienne
Saint Etienne are averaging 1.6 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.6/game - Tighter defenseClermont Foot
Clermont Foot are conceding just 1 goals per game over their recent matches.
1/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Saint Etienne at 64% — final result was Saint Etienne win, Saint Etienne 3-1 Clermont Foot.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Saint Etienne have averaged 1.6 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Clermont Foot have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Saint Etienne | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 16 |  Clermont Foot | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 2 | DLD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Leleu
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Saint Etienne
Clermont Foot
More Ligue 2 predictions
Laval
Grenoble
Rodez
PAU
Nancy
DunkerqueClermont Foot
SochauxFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot?+
Our AI model favors Saint Etienne to win, with a 64% probability (Draw 21%, Clermont Foot 15%).
Where is Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot played?+
The match is played at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne (capacity 41,965).
What time does Saint Etienne vs Clermont Foot kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 14, 2026, 6:45 PM (your local time, based on your device).