Saint Etienne vs Grenoble

Ligue 2· Regular Season - 3
Saint Etienne
40Full-time
Grenoble
DLWWGoals 15-131st in league
WWLDGoals 11-1317th in league
Home2W 0D 0L(7-1)
Away0W 0D 2L(2-8)
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne · Capacity 41,965 · grass · Referee: A. Souifi

Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 6'B. Mouazan
  2. 13'A. Csongvai (J. Breum)
  3. 19'Thierno Ballo (I. Cardona)
  4. 27'J. Breum (Zuriko Davitashvili)
  5. 35'M. Corboz (Samba Diba)
  6. 45+1'C. Vidal
  7. 45+3'I. Cardona
  8. 57'M. Bernauer
  9. 58'B. Mouazan (Lucas Bernadou)
  10. 58'Y. Diaby (L. Cerri)
  11. 62'Thierno Ballo (J. Duffus)
  12. 63'I. Cardona (L. Stassin)
  13. 76'Samba Diba
  14. 79'J. Akpa Akpro (D. Hoogewerf)
  15. 79'Y. Magnin (J. Mouton)
  16. 82'Zuriko Davitashvili (A. Boakye)

Lineups

Saint EtienneGrenoble
1.5
Goals/game
1.1
1.3
Conceded/game
1.3

AI match analysis

Saint Etienne win
68.76%
Draw
19.46%
Grenoble win
11.78%
52.6%BTTS
48.2%Over 2.5
30.1%Saint Etienne clean sheet
24.7%Grenoble clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-0

Data suggests that Saint Etienne is in strong form, boasting two wins in their opening matches and an unbeaten record in their last five matches. In contrast, Grenoble has only managed to secure 1 point from 2 games and has yet to win away this season, indicating they might struggle against a strong home side like Saint Etienne.

  • Saint Etienne currently ranked 2 and unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
  • Grenoble only has 1 point from 2 games and has struggled away this season.
  • Historical head-to-head favors Saint Etienne with 3 wins in their last 5 encounters.
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
100/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors Saint Etienne

  • Strong home recordSaint Etienne

    Saint Etienne have won 2 of their last 2 home matches.

    2/2 home wins
  • Weak away recordGrenoble

    Grenoble have won 0 of their last 2 away matches.

    0/2 away wins
  • Higher league positionSaint Etienne

    Saint Etienne sit 16 places above Grenoble in the table.

    #1 vs #17
  • Historical edgeSaint Etienne

    Saint Etienne have won 2 of the last 6 meetings between these two teams.

    2/6 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✓ Correct pickExact score missed

We picked Saint Etienne at 68.76% — final result was Saint Etienne win, Saint Etienne 4-0 Grenoble.

Predicted score was 2-0.

This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.

Closing odds vs. our model

Saint Etienne1.35market 74.1% · model 68.76%
Draw4.73market 21.2% · model 19.46%
Grenoble8.33market 12% · model 11.78%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • Saint Etienne have averaged 1.5 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Grenoble have averaged 1.1 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 6 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 2 of the last 6 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Saint Etienne wins
3Draws
1Grenoble wins
7-4Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

Saint Etienne1.35best 1.40
Draw4.73best 5.14
Grenoble8.33best 9.00

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.74best 1.84
Under 2.52.05best 2.15

Both teams to score

Yes2.02best 2.12
No1.71best 1.83

Double chance

Saint Etienne/Draw1.07best 1.10
Saint Etienne/Grenoble1.16best 1.20
Draw/Grenoble3.04best 3.25

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.10best 1.10
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.73best 1.73
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.00best 2.00
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes7.00best 7.00

Average and best price across 14 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

Saint Etienne1.35 0.04
Draw4.73 0.39
Grenoble8.33 1.23
19 Aug22 Aug

Model vs market

Saint Etienne win-0.3pp
AI
68.76%
Market
69.1%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
19.46%
Market
19.7%
Grenoble win+0.6pp
AI
11.78%
Market
11.2%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
1
Saint Etienne
3300+99WWW
17
Grenoble
3012-61LDL

Pre-match comparison

1.5Goals scored per game1.1
1.3Goals conceded per game1.3

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

A. Souifi

3.5Yellow cards / game
0Red cards / game
0Penalties scored / game

Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

Saint Etienne

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
33.3%
46-60'
33.3%
61-75'
33.3%
76-90+'
0%

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Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win Saint Etienne vs Grenoble?+

Our AI model favors Saint Etienne to win, with a 68.76% probability (Draw 19.46%, Grenoble 11.78%).

Where is Saint Etienne vs Grenoble played?+

The match is played at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne (capacity 41,965).

What time does Saint Etienne vs Grenoble kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 22, 2026, 6:00 PM (your local time, based on your device).