Samsunspor vs Göztepe
Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun · Capacity 34,658 · grass · Referee: K. Saglam
Match events
- 3'A. Matos
- 17'A. Matos
- 30'Marius Mouandilmadji
- 43'Emre Kılınç (Josafat Mendes)
- 46'Sinclair Armstrong
- 52'Sinclair Armstrong
- 52'T. Borevković
- 56'Allan
- 58'Marius Mouandilmadji (Marius Mouandilmadji)
- 60'A. Antunes (Efkan Bekiroğlu)
- 60'A. Matos (Rhaldney)
- 61'André Henrique (Janderson)
- 61'Sinclair Armstrong (Juan Santos da Silva)
- 65'Efkan Bekiroğlu (Janderson)
- 70'Marius Mouandilmadji (Fatih Kaya)
- 78'Yalçın Kayan (Samed Onur)
- 78'S. Jarju (A. Sekongo)
- 90+2'Arda Kurtulan (Ogün Bayrak)
- 90'C. Yuksel (Fatih Kaya)
Lineups
- 1.9
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.7
- Conceded/game
- 1.4
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
Statistical analysis suggests that Samsunspor holds a slight edge, having won their last home encounter against Göztepe decisively. With a recent average of 1.9 goals per game, they appear capable of breaching Göztepe's defense, which has been vulnerable away from home. The numbers indicate a relatively competitive matchup, but historical performance favors Samsunspor.
- Samsunspor won their last home match against Göztepe 3-0.
- Samsunspor has averaged 1.9 goals scored per game in their last 10 matches.
- Göztepe lost their last away match against Samsunspor 3-0.
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Samsunspor
- Historical edgeSamsunspor
Samsunspor have won 2 of the last 4 meetings between these two teams.
2/4 H2H wins - Good recent formSamsunspor
Samsunspor have won 3 of their last 5 matches.
3W 0D 2L - Sharper attackSamsunspor
Samsunspor are averaging 1.9 goals scored per game over their recent matches.
1.9/game - Tighter defenseGöztepe
Göztepe are conceding just 1.4 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.4/game conceded
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 42% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Samsunspor at 41.81% — final result was a draw, Samsunspor 3-3 Göztepe.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (77/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Samsunspor have averaged 1.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Göztepe have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 2 of the last 4 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |  Samsunspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 | WD |
| 14 |  Göztepe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | LD |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
K. Saglam
Based on 2 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Samsunspor
Göztepe
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RizesporFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Samsunspor vs Göztepe?+
Our AI model favors Samsunspor to win, with a 41.81% probability (Draw 29.05%, Göztepe 29.14%).
Where is Samsunspor vs Göztepe played?+
The match is played at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayıs Stadyumu, Samsun (capacity 34,658).
What time does Samsunspor vs Göztepe kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).