San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive
Match events
- 20'A. Mendez (A. Moreno)
- 28'K. Twumasi
- 39'A. Mendez
- 44'B. Farkarlun (A. Moreno)
- 45+1'E. Calvillo
- 45+1'J. Batrouni
- 46'D. Hernandez (L. Berron)
- 46'C. Calov (C. Parano)
- 61'B. Farkarlun (N. Cardona)
- 61'K. Twumasi (N. Dollenmayer)
- 63'R. Buckmaster (E. Cuello)
- 71'A. Sou Ah Y (D. Pacheco)
- 74'E. Calvillo (D. Gomez)
- 74'A. Mendez (R. Avila)
- 76'N. Dollenmayer
- 78'S. Patiño (L. Haakenson)
- 83'R. Coronado (R. Ruiz)
- 83'E. Cuello
- 90+3'J. Hernandez
Lineups
Coach: Carlos Llamosa
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 1.2
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 2-1
The data suggests that San Antonio holds a significant edge in their recent home encounters against El Paso Locomotive, having won four out of the last five matchups. Moreover, San Antonio's solid home form, which includes an unbeaten streak in their last five home games versus El Paso, alongside El Paso's struggle to keep clean sheets, favors the home side to secure a victory.
- San Antonio unbeaten in last 5 home games against El Paso Locomotive
- El Paso has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last 10 matches
- San Antonio has a strong home record this season with 5 wins out of 9 matches
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors San Antonio
- Historical edgeSan Antonio
San Antonio have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.
5/8 H2H wins - Higher league positionEl Paso Locomotive
El Paso Locomotive sit 3 places above San Antonio in the table.
#2 vs #5 - Strong home recordSan Antonio
San Antonio have won 5 of their last 11 home matches.
5/11 home wins - Strong away recordEl Paso Locomotive
El Paso Locomotive have won 6 of their last 12 away matches.
6/12 away wins
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked San Antonio at 44.67% — final result was El Paso Locomotive win, San Antonio 0-3 El Paso Locomotive.
Predicted score was 2-1.
This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- San Antonio have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- El Paso Locomotive have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Odds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +1 | 32 | LDWW | |
| 2 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 37 | WWWW |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
M. Thompson
Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
San Antonio
El Paso Locomotive
More USL Championship predictions
Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive?+
Our AI model favors San Antonio to win, with a 44.67% probability (Draw 27.99%, El Paso Locomotive 27.34%).
What time does San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).

