San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive

USL Championship· Group Stage
LDWLGoals 8-125th in league
LWWWGoals 14-122nd in league
Home5W 3D 3L(14-12)
Away6W 2D 4L(19-11)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 20'A. Mendez (A. Moreno)
  2. 28'K. Twumasi
  3. 39'A. Mendez
  4. 44'B. Farkarlun (A. Moreno)
  5. 45+1'E. Calvillo
  6. 45+1'J. Batrouni
  7. 46'D. Hernandez (L. Berron)
  8. 46'C. Calov (C. Parano)
  9. 61'B. Farkarlun (N. Cardona)
  10. 61'K. Twumasi (N. Dollenmayer)
  11. 63'R. Buckmaster (E. Cuello)
  12. 71'A. Sou Ah Y (D. Pacheco)
  13. 74'E. Calvillo (D. Gomez)
  14. 74'A. Mendez (R. Avila)
  15. 76'N. Dollenmayer
  16. 78'S. Patiño (L. Haakenson)
  17. 83'R. Coronado (R. Ruiz)
  18. 83'E. Cuello
  19. 90+3'J. Hernandez

Lineups

San AntonioEl Paso Locomotive
0.8
Goals/game
1.4
1.2
Conceded/game
1.2

AI match analysis

San Antonio win
44.67%
Draw
27.99%
El Paso Locomotive win
27.34%
46%BTTS
40.4%Over 2.5
27.3%San Antonio clean sheet
36.8%El Paso Locomotive clean sheet

Predicted score: 2-1

The data suggests that San Antonio holds a significant edge in their recent home encounters against El Paso Locomotive, having won four out of the last five matchups. Moreover, San Antonio's solid home form, which includes an unbeaten streak in their last five home games versus El Paso, alongside El Paso's struggle to keep clean sheets, favors the home side to secure a victory.

  • San Antonio unbeaten in last 5 home games against El Paso Locomotive
  • El Paso has conceded an average of 1.4 goals in their last 10 matches
  • San Antonio has a strong home record this season with 5 wins out of 9 matches
AI ConfidenceHigh confidence
81/100

Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is moderate, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors San Antonio

  • Historical edgeSan Antonio

    San Antonio have won 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    5/8 H2H wins
  • Higher league positionEl Paso Locomotive

    El Paso Locomotive sit 3 places above San Antonio in the table.

    #2 vs #5
  • Strong home recordSan Antonio

    San Antonio have won 5 of their last 11 home matches.

    5/11 home wins
  • Strong away recordEl Paso Locomotive

    El Paso Locomotive have won 6 of their last 12 away matches.

    6/12 away wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked San Antonio at 44.67% — final result was El Paso Locomotive win, San Antonio 0-3 El Paso Locomotive.

Predicted score was 2-1.

This was a high confidence pick (81/100) that didn't come through — a reminder that no forecast is guaranteed.

Closing odds vs. our model

San Antonio2.04market 48.9% · model 44.67%
El Paso Locomotive3.26market 30.6% · model 27.34%
Draw3.31market 30.2% · model 27.99%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • San Antonio have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • El Paso Locomotive have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

5San Antonio wins
2Draws
1El Paso Locomotive wins
15-9Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

San Antonio2.04best 2.20
Draw3.31best 3.41
El Paso Locomotive3.26best 3.51

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.51.85best 1.93
Under 2.51.88best 1.95

Both teams to score

Yes1.70best 1.80
No2.01best 2.07

Double chance

San Antonio/Draw1.28best 1.33
San Antonio/El Paso Locomotive1.26best 1.30
Draw/El Paso Locomotive1.66best 1.75

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — No1.22best 1.22
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes2.75best 2.75
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.40best 1.40
Clean Sheet - Away — Yes4.00best 4.00

Average and best price across 11 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

San Antonio2.04 0.12
Draw3.31 0.08
El Paso Locomotive3.26 0.33
15 Aug16 Aug

Model vs market

San Antonio win+0.1pp
AI
44.67%
Market
44.6%
Draw+0.5pp
AI
27.99%
Market
27.5%
El Paso Locomotive win-0.6pp
AI
27.34%
Market
27.9%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
5
San Antonio
21885+132LDWW
2
El Paso Locomotive
221147+737WWWW

Pre-match comparison

0.8Goals scored per game1.4
1.2Goals conceded per game1.2

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

Referee

M. Thompson

4.4Yellow cards / game
0.2Red cards / game
0.33Penalties scored / game

Based on 15 matches officiated (our own data).

When do they score?

San Antonio

0-15'
0%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
50%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
50%
76-90+'
0%

El Paso Locomotive

0-15'
25%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
0%
46-60'
25%
61-75'
0%
76-90+'
50%

More USL Championship predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive?+

Our AI model favors San Antonio to win, with a 44.67% probability (Draw 27.99%, El Paso Locomotive 27.34%).

What time does San Antonio vs El Paso Locomotive kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 16, 2026, 1:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).