San Carlos vs CS Herediano

Primera División· Apertura - 4
LDLWGoals 9-176th in league
WLWLGoals 8-810th in league
Home1W 0D 1L(1-3)
Away0W 1D 1L(1-2)
Today
Lineups~1h before
Kickoff
Half-time
Full-time

Match events

  1. 43'R. Cordoba
  2. 45+1'R. Rivera
  3. 46'K. Estrada (R. Araya)
  4. 55'J. Aguilar
  5. 57'Randall Leal (D. Araya)
  6. 59'Everardo Rubio
  7. 62'B. Martinez
  8. 69'Everardo Rubio (A. Hudson)
  9. 69'A. Murillo (A. Suarez)
  10. 70'R. Cordoba (O. Rojas)
  11. 70'C. Martinez (K. Cerdas)
  12. 70'A. Guevara (E. Hernandez)
  13. 76'P. Fonseca (J. Aguero)
  14. 76'J. Aguilar (J. Valverde)
  15. 81'R. Rivera (K. Fuller)
  16. 90+1'E. Hernandez
  17. 90'J. Venegas
Lineups unavailable for this match.
San CarlosCS Herediano
0.9
Goals/game
0.8
1.7
Conceded/game
0.8

AI match analysis

San Carlos win
33.54%
Draw
30.24%
CS Herediano win
36.22%
40.9%BTTS
35%Over 2.5
28.7%San Carlos clean sheet
42.7%CS Herediano clean sheet

Predicted score: 1-2

Data suggests that CS Herediano has a slight edge going into this match, given their better recent form despite their own challenges. Historically, San Carlos struggles against CS Herediano, winning only 1 of their last 5 encounters. Additionally, San Carlos's poor scoring record further supports the likelihood of Herediano capitalizing on their chances.

  • San Carlos has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
  • CS Herediano has only lost 1 match in last 5 head-to-head encounters against San Carlos
  • San Carlos averages only 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded over their last 10 matches
AI ConfidenceModerate confidence
69/100

Confidence is moderate because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.

AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.

Why AI favors CS Herediano

  • Poor recent formSan Carlos

    San Carlos have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    1W 1D 3L
  • Poor recent formCS Herediano

    CS Herediano have lost 3 of their last 5 matches.

    2W 0D 3L
  • Tighter defenseCS Herediano

    CS Herediano are conceding just 0.8 goals per game over their recent matches.

    0.8/game conceded
  • Historical edgeCS Herediano

    CS Herediano have won 3 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams.

    3/8 H2H wins

Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.

What could change the prediction

  • AI and market are closely aligned

    The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.

  • Close matchup

    The model gives the favorite only a 36% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.

How did our prediction do?

✗ Missed pickExact score missed

We picked CS Herediano at 36.22% — final result was San Carlos win, San Carlos 1-0 CS Herediano.

Predicted score was 1-2.

The model itself flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (69/100), so this miss was a genuinely close call.

Closing odds vs. our model

CS Herediano2.40market 41.6% · model 36.22%
San Carlos2.88market 34.7% · model 33.54%
Draw3.00market 33.3% · model 30.24%

Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.

Match trends

  • San Carlos have averaged 0.9 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • CS Herediano have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
  • Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
  • Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.

Head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2San Carlos wins
3Draws
3CS Herediano wins
8-10Goals

Odds comparison

Match winner

San Carlos2.88best 3.65
Draw3.00best 3.15
CS Herediano2.40best 2.63

Total goals (2.5 line)

Over 2.52.18best 2.28
Under 2.51.62best 1.68

Both teams to score

Yes1.86best 1.97
No1.82best 1.86

Double chance

San Carlos/Draw1.49best 1.67
San Carlos/CS Herediano1.31best 1.36
Draw/CS Herediano1.35best 1.45

Clean sheet

Clean Sheet - Away — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — Yes3.00best 3.00
Clean Sheet - Home — No1.36best 1.36
Clean Sheet - Away — No1.36best 1.36

Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.

Match winner — odds movement

San Carlos2.88 0.67
Draw3.00 0.03
CS Herediano2.40 0.39
12 Aug15 Aug

Model vs market

San Carlos win+1.9pp
AI
33.54%
Market
31.6%
Draw-0.2pp
AI
30.24%
Market
30.4%
CS Herediano win-1.8pp
AI
36.22%
Market
38%

"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.

League standings

#TeamPWDLGDPtsForm
6
San Carlos
5203-46WWLL
10
CS Herediano
5023-72LLDD

Pre-match comparison

0.9Goals scored per game0.8
1.7Goals conceded per game0.8

Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.

When do they score?

San Carlos

0-15'
11.1%
16-30'
0%
31-45'
44.4%
46-60'
11.1%
61-75'
11.1%
76-90+'
22.2%

CS Herediano

0-15'
0%
16-30'
20%
31-45'
20%
46-60'
0%
61-75'
40%
76-90+'
20%

More Primera División predictions

Frequently asked questions

Who is likely to win San Carlos vs CS Herediano?+

Our AI model favors CS Herediano to win, with a 36.22% probability (Draw 30.24%, San Carlos 33.54%).

What time does San Carlos vs CS Herediano kick off?+

Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 2:00 AM (your local time, based on your device).