San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe
Match events
- 18'Victor Malcorra (M. Luna Diale)
- 20'Lucas Menossi
- 27'Joaquin Mosqueira (Emilio Giaccone)
- 45+2'Rodrigo Auzmendi
- 45+2'Maizon Rodriguez
- 46'L. Vargas (J. Pintado)
- 55'Juan Álvarez (G. Del Prete)
- 64'Rodrigo Auzmendi
- 75'Juan Pablo Ludueña
- 78'Lucas Menossi (Misael Aguirre)
- 78'C. Tarragona (E. Ramírez)
- 82'Emilio Giaccone
Lineups
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.0
- 0.9
- Conceded/game
- 1.0
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-1
The data suggests a closely contested matchup, as both San Lorenzo and Union Santa Fe have struggled in recent form, with San Lorenzo losing three of their last five and Union winning only once in that period. Historically, Union Santa Fe has had the upper hand in their recent encounters, contributing to a balanced expectation for the match with both teams averaging close scoring and conceding rates.
- San Lorenzo has lost 3 of their last 5 matches
- Union Santa Fe has only won 1 of their last 5 matches
- Recent head-to-head record favors Union Santa Fe, with 2 wins in the last 5 encounters
Confidence is high because the outcomes are closely matched, which limits confidence, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors San Lorenzo
- Weak home recordSan Lorenzo
San Lorenzo have won 3 of their last 8 home matches.
3/8 home wins - Weak away recordUnion Santa Fe
Union Santa Fe have won 2 of their last 8 away matches.
2/8 away wins - Tighter defenseSan Lorenzo
San Lorenzo are conceding just 0.9 goals per game over their recent matches.
0.9/game conceded - Higher league positionSan Lorenzo
San Lorenzo sit 1 place above Union Santa Fe in the table.
#7 vs #8
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
- Close matchup
The model gives the favorite only a 38% probability, so this is a closely-matched fixture and confidence remains moderate.
How did our prediction do?
We picked San Lorenzo at 38% — final result was San Lorenzo win, San Lorenzo 1-0 Union Santa Fe.
Predicted score was 1-1.
The model itself only flagged this as a moderate confidence pick (71/100) — a closer call that happened to land right.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- San Lorenzo have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Union Santa Fe have averaged 1 goal scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 5 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Union Santa Fe
San LorenzoSan LorenzoUnion Santa FeSan LorenzoUnion Santa FeUnion Santa FeSan LorenzoUnion Santa FeSan LorenzoSan LorenzoUnion Santa FeUnion Santa FeSan LorenzoSan LorenzoUnion Santa FeOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22 | WLLW |
| 8 | Union Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | +4 | 21 | LLWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
L. Rey Hilfer
Based on 1 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Union Santa Fe
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Gimnasia L.P.Frequently asked questions
Who is likely to win San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe?+
Our AI model favors San Lorenzo to win, with a 38% probability (Draw 32%, Union Santa Fe 30%).
What time does San Lorenzo vs Union Santa Fe kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 15, 2026, 5:30 PM (your local time, based on your device).