Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas
Estadio Corona, Torreón · Capacity 28,914 · grass · Referee: V. Arce
Match events
- 53'Richard Ledezma (S. Sandoval)
- 53'Efrain Orona (R. Sordo)
- 53'Eduardo Aguirre (R. Sordo)
- 64'Jordan Carillo Rodriguez (Efrain Alvarez)
- 66'D. González (K. Palacios)
- 66'Aldo López (Salvador Mariscal)
- 75'Ricardo Marín
- 81'H. Camberos (Fernando González)
- 82'Brian Gutierrez (M. Gómez)
- 82'Ricardo Marín (Ángel Sepúlveda)
- 85'Efrain Orona (T. Jimenez)
- 90+5'Mauricio Cuevas
Lineups
- 0.8
- Goals/game
- 1.4
- 2.1
- Conceded/game
- 1.2
AI match analysis
Predicted score: 1-2
Data suggests Guadalajara Chivas has a stronger position going into this match, given their recent performance compared to Santos Laguna, who is struggling without any points from their first three games. Historically, the last five encounters have been competitive, but Santos has had a tough start to the season, with a negative goal differential. The numbers favor Chivas, especially considering Santos's recent form of five consecutive losses.
- Santos Laguna ranked 17th with 0 points from 3 matches
- Santos Laguna has lost their last 5 matches
- Guadalajara Chivas is 12th with 4 points from 3 matches
- Chivas has a recent away win against Seattle Sounders
Confidence is high because the probability gap between outcomes is decisive, and the bookmaker market agrees closely with this read, and recent form, standings and head-to-head data are all available.
AI-generated statistical analysis, not betting advice. No outcome is guaranteed. 18+ | Please gamble responsibly.
Why AI favors Guadalajara Chivas
- Poor recent formSantos Laguna
Santos Laguna have lost 4 of their last 5 matches.
1W 0D 4L - Good recent formGuadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas have won 4 of their last 5 matches.
4W 0D 1L - Tighter defenseGuadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas are conceding just 1.2 goals per game over their recent matches.
1.2/game conceded - Higher league positionGuadalajara Chivas
Guadalajara Chivas sit 13 places above Santos Laguna in the table.
#4 vs #17
Computed independently from historical data — not a model-reported reason.
What could change the prediction
- AI and market are closely aligned
The bookmaker market and our model currently see this match almost identically, which limits how differentiated this pick is.
How did our prediction do?
We picked Guadalajara Chivas at 63.1% — final result was Guadalajara Chivas win, Santos Laguna 0-1 Guadalajara Chivas.
Predicted score was 1-2.
This was a high confidence pick (100/100) — and it paid off.
Closing odds vs. our model
Last tracked odds before kickoff, compared against our AI's pre-match probability for the same outcome.
Match trends
- Santos Laguna have averaged 0.8 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Guadalajara Chivas have averaged 1.4 goals scored per game over their last 10 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 1 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides.
- Both teams scored in 4 of the last 8 head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos LagunaSantos LagunaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasSantos LagunaSantos LagunaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasSantos LagunaSantos LagunaGuadalajara ChivasGuadalajara ChivasSantos LagunaSantos LagunaGuadalajara ChivasOdds comparison
Match winner
Total goals (2.5 line)
Both teams to score
Double chance
Clean sheet
Average and best price across 13 bookmakers we track. Odds change continuously — shown for reference only, not a recommendation.
Match winner — odds movement
Model vs market
"Market" is the average bookmaker price converted to an implied probability with the bookmaker's built-in margin removed, for a fair comparison against the AI's own probability estimate.
League standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 0 | LLLL |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 | WDWL |
Pre-match comparison
Rolling averages based on each team's last 10 and 10 finished matches; clean sheets/failed-to-score are full-season totals.
Referee
V. Arce
Based on 3 matches officiated (our own data).
When do they score?
Santos Laguna
Guadalajara Chivas
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CF PachucaGuadalajara ChivasFrequently asked questions
Who is likely to win Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas?+
Our AI model favors Guadalajara Chivas to win, with a 63.1% probability (Draw 20.59%, Santos Laguna 16.31%).
Where is Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas played?+
The match is played at Estadio Corona, Torreón (capacity 28,914).
What time does Santos Laguna vs Guadalajara Chivas kick off?+
Kickoff is at Aug 17, 2026, 1:10 AM (your local time, based on your device).